Emmen vs De Graafschap: match statistics
Emmen vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Emmen played De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Emmen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. De Graafschap: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Emmen scores 1.54 and concedes 1.95 goals per match. De Graafschap scores 2.00 and concedes 1.54. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Emmen 62%, De Graafschap 73%. Over 2.5: Emmen 65%, De Graafschap 68%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.52. Emmen: 13.4 shots per match, De Graafschap: 17.8.
Match halves
Emmen: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.89. De Graafschap: half-time lead 49%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Emmen: 76-90+ (17 goals). De Graafschap: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
De Graafschap are the favorites — they sit 4th in the table versus Emmen’s 15th and have 18 wins this season compared to the home side’s 11. The visitors have scored 74 goals this season (1.89 per away match), while Emmen have 57 goals overall, although Emmen score slightly more at home: 1.94 goals per match versus the visitors’ 1.89 away. The favorite’s form is clearer — De Graafschap have netted 15 goals in their last 5 matches and average 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Emmen have only 7 goals and 1.0 point per game in that period (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Defensively the visitors concede 1.56 goals on average away compared to Emmen’s 1.67 conceded at home, but xG shows more expected chances against De Graafschap (xG against 1.87 vs 1.47 for Emmen), suggesting an open match with opportunities for both sides. Considering the table advantage, superior win record and significantly better recent form over the last five matches, I forecast a De Graafschap victory, although Emmen possess the home advantage (1.94 goals on average and 22% of home matches with a clean sheet), hence a moderate probability of an away triumph.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Emmen 74% and De Graafschap 72%, versus a league average of 62%, giving a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. In the last 5 matches both sides also have BTTS at 60%; during that period Emmen concedes on average 2.4 goals while De Graafschap scores 3.0 on average, further increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. Seasonal goal averages show Emmen scores 2.11 and concedes 1.53, and De Graafschap scores 1.89 and concedes 1.56 — a combined 4.0 goals per match versus the league average 3.21. xG confirms both directions: Emmen xG_for 2.27 against De Graafschap xG_against 1.87, and De Graafschap xG_for 1.76 against Emmen xG_against 1.62, suggesting realistic scoring chances for both teams. Additionally, low clean sheet expected percentages of 21% and 11% and a superiority in shots on target 8.26 to 6.06 support the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and season-data-driven model indicates a high probability of goals: Emmen has xG_for 2.27 and De Graafschap 1.76, with xG_against 1.62 (Emmen) and 1.87 (De Graafschap), yielding expected 2.07 goals for the home side and 1.69 for the visitors (total 3.76). Over the season Emmen finished 89% of matches over 1.5 goals, De Graafschap also 89%, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 is 68% (Emmen) and 67% (De Graafschap). In the last 5 fixtures Emmen averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, De Graafschap averaged 3.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, with both teams posting 80% Over 2.5 in that period. Additionally, both teams scored in 74% of Emmen’s matches and 72% of De Graafschap’s matches, and average shots on target are 8.26 (Emmen) and 6.06 (De Graafschap), reinforcing the goal likelihood. Based on this, the strongest signal is over 1.5 (season figures 89-89% and 3.76 expected goals), so I recommend backing the over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Emmen leading at the break and winning) because season-long metrics favor the home side: xG 2.27 vs 1.76, on average 20.37 shots vs 15.00 and 8.26 shots on target vs 6.06, and Emmen have led at the break in 53% of matches. The visitors, however, are in strong short-term form — De Graafschap average 3.0 goals in their last five matches and have won 60% of those, leading at the break in 80% of them (4 of 5). Nonetheless the home advantage is reinforced in the second half: Emmen score an average of 1.21 goals after the break and have collected 29 points in second halves vs De Graafschap’s 23, which supports maintaining or regaining a lead. Considering the higher xG and volume of chances plus a solid second-half record, the strongest signal is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Emmen | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
De Graafschap is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Emmen · 2.2 pts / match - De Graafschap
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
De Graafschap is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Emmen · 2 goals / match - De Graafschap
De Graafschap is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.95 goals / match - Emmen · 1.54 goals / match - De Graafschap
Emmen scores in 73% of matches (27 of 37 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 matches).
De Graafschap scores in 86% of matches (32 of 37 matches), while Emmen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Emmen
Over / Under - De Graafschap
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
De Graafschap is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Emmen · 1.78 pts / match - De Graafschap
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Emmen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
De Graafschap - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 49% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Emmen
De Graafschap
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Emmen | Liga | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.49 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Emmen 1 - 0 - 0 De Graafschap. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Emmen vs De Graafschap?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Emmen 1:0 De Graafschap. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Emmen score 1.54 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 2.00. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Emmen's matches and 73% of De Graafschap's.
What form are Emmen and De Graafschap in?
Over the last 5 games Emmen have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and De Graafschap 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Emmen vs De Graafschap: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.