Emmen vs MVV: match statistics
Emmen vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Emmen played MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Emmen: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. MVV: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Emmen scores 1.56 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. MVV scores 1.18 and concedes 2.03. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Emmen 62%, MVV 56%. Over 2.5: Emmen 62%, MVV 65%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Emmen has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.29. Emmen: 13.5 shots per match, MVV: 11.4.
Match halves
Emmen: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88. MVV: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Emmen: 76-90+ (16 goals). MVV: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Emmen holds a clear edge in attack: at home they average 1.94 goals per match and have scored 53 goals this season, while MVV have 40 goals overall and only 0.82 goals away. Defensively the hosts concede 1.71 goals at home on average, whereas the visitors concede 2.12 on the road; this is corroborated by xG — Emmen have xG For 1.63 and xG Against 1.49, while MVV have xG For 1.24 and xG Against 2.14. Chance creation also favors Emmen: the hosts average 14.53 shots and 5.06 on target per home match with a conversion rate of 13%, compared to MVV’s 10.24 shots, 4.41 on target and 8% conversion away. Recent form narrows the home advantage — Emmen in the last 5 matches have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.4 points per game, while MVV have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.0 point. Considering Emmen’s superior efficiency, higher xG and positive goal differential (+4 at home versus MVV’s -22 away), I expect a home win, though the match has potential for multiple goals.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Emmen has a seasonal BTTS rate of 71% and scores 1.53 goals at home while conceding 1.94; MVV has a seasonal BTTS rate of 41% and away averages of 0.82 scored and 2.12 conceded per match. Both teams have only 12% clean sheets this season, and the league records 62% BTTS and an average of 3.21 goals per game, which favors Goal/Goal outcomes. Although MVV often fail to score this season (53% of matches without a goal), their last 5 matches show BTTS at 80% with averages of 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded, so recently they have been more prone to conceding. Emmen posts a higher home xG of 1.35 versus MVV’s 1.24 away and has better shot conversion 12% vs 8%, while MVV register more shots on target (4.41 vs 3.41), which together increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering seasonal 71% BTTS for Emmen vs 41% for MVV, the low 12% clean sheet rate and the league’s 62% BTTS, I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 65% and No Goal at 35%, therefore I recommend a Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams record Over 1.5 in 76% of their matches (Emmen 76%, MVV 76%), and the league averages 3.21 goals per game, which already indicates a high share of matches with at least two strikes. Emmen scores 1.53 and concedes 1.94 on average, MVV scores 0.82 and concedes 2.12; combined xG is 1.35 + 1.24 = 2.59, and after accounting for xG against (2.14 for MVV and 1.90 for Emmen) I estimate around 1.75 goals for the home side and 1.57 for the away side, i.e. ~3.32 goals total. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 — historical 76% plus expected 3.32 goals lead to an estimated probability of Over 1.5 at ~88%. I rate Over 2.5 moderately at 68%, since season Over2.5 is 71% for Emmen and 59% for MVV and the combined xG 2.59 is only slightly above the 2.5 threshold. I consider Over 3.5 less likely (≈42%), because although Emmen has Over3.5 in 53% of matches, MVV only 47% and the expected total 3.32 is below the 3.5 threshold; additionally the hosts average 12.59 shots and 3.41 on target with a 12% conversion, which supports at least a few home goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Emmen have the attacking edge at home: they score an average of 1.53 goals per home match versus 0.82 for MVV away, with home xG 1.35 compared to 1.24 for the visitors. At half-time Emmen led in 4 matches (24%), while MVV never led (0%), and hosts average 1.12 points by the break versus 0.47 for MVV, increasing the likelihood that the home side will lead or be level in the first half. After 90 minutes the hosts are favorites: Emmen win 35% of their home matches versus 18% of MVV’s away wins, with average goals conceded of 1.94 (Emmen) and 2.12 (MVV), so I expect an Emmen victory, although in 71% of Emmen’s home games both teams have scored, meaning the hosts can still concede. The strongest signal from these data is the scenario of leading at the break and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1), therefore I tip 1/1 as the main pick. Additionally, MVV’s low shot conversion (8%) versus Emmen’s 12% and the higher number of shots by the hosts (12.59 vs 10.24) support the expectation that Emmen will maintain their advantage to the end of the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Emmen | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MVV is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Emmen · 1 pts / match - MVV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Emmen is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Emmen · 1.18 goals / match - MVV
Emmen is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Emmen · 2.03 goals / match - MVV
Emmen scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
MVV scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Emmen keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Emmen
Over / Under - MVV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Emmen is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Emmen · 0.79 pts / match - MVV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Emmen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Emmen
MVV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Emmen | Liga | MVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.21 | • 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 64% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Emmen 0 - 0 - 1 MVV. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Emmen vs MVV?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Emmen 2:1 MVV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Emmen vs MVV?
Emmen score 1.56 goals per game on average and MVV 1.18. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Emmen's matches and 56% of MVV's.
What form are Emmen and MVV in?
Over the last 5 games Emmen have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and MVV 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Emmen vs MVV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Emmen vs MVV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.