Emmen vs Willem II: match statistics
Emmen presents an impressive disposition in home matches with a 42% win rate and a positive goal difference of +9, constituting a solid basis for a victory. The hosts record an average of 2.33 goals per match at home with only 8% of matches without scored goals, testifying to an effective offense. Willem II has only a 36% win rate in away matches and a negative goal difference of -4, averaging 1.71 goals per match on the road. Despite Willem II's better form in the last five matches (1.4 points per match vs 0.4 for Emmen), the hosts' advantage at their own stadium and the visitors' weaker disposition on the road speak for a victory for Emmen. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.85 vs 1.46), confirming their qualitative advantage in attack on their own turf.
Emmen vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Emmen played Willem II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Emmen: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Willem II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Emmen scores 1.62 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Willem II scores 1.36 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Emmen 65%, Willem II 61%. Over 2.5: Emmen 62%, Willem II 54%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Willem II has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.61. Emmen: 14.4 shots per match, Willem II: 13.9.
Match halves
Emmen: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.00. Willem II: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Emmen: 76-90+ (14 goals). Willem II: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Emmen presents an impressive disposition in home matches with a 42% win rate and a positive goal difference of +9, constituting a solid basis for a victory. The hosts record an average of 2.33 goals per match at home with only 8% of matches without scored goals, testifying to an effective offense. Willem II has only a 36% win rate in away matches and a negative goal difference of -4, averaging 1.71 goals per match on the road. Despite Willem II's better form in the last five matches (1.4 points per match vs 0.4 for Emmen), the hosts' advantage at their own stadium and the visitors' weaker disposition on the road speak for a victory for Emmen. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.85 vs 1.46), confirming their qualitative advantage in attack on their own turf.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Emmen | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Willem II is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Emmen · 1.4 pts / match - Willem II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Emmen is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Emmen · 1.36 goals / match - Willem II
Willem II is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - Emmen · 1.29 goals / match - Willem II
Emmen scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Willem II scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Emmen keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Emmen
Over / Under - Willem II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Willem II is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Emmen · 1.46 pts / match - Willem II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Emmen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Emmen
Willem II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Emmen | Liga | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.46 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 62% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 65% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 86% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Emmen 0 - 1 - 0 Willem II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Emmen vs Willem II?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Emmen 0:3 Willem II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Emmen vs Willem II?
Emmen score 1.62 goals per game on average and Willem II 1.36. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Emmen's matches and 61% of Willem II's.
What form are Emmen and Willem II in?
Over the last 5 games Emmen have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Willem II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Emmen vs Willem II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.