Empoli vs Cesena: match statistics
Empoli presents solid home form with 57% draws at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+4) in home matches. The hosts are difficult to defeat at home, conceding just 1.07 goals per match. Cesena has a balanced away record (46% victories and 46% losses), but the recent form of both teams is weak – Empoli earned only 0.6 points per match in the last five games, and Cesena 0.8 points. The xG statistics are very close (Empoli 1.39 vs Cesena 1.36), suggesting balanced quality of play. Taking into account Empoli's high propensity for draws at home and the low effectiveness of both teams in recent weeks, the most likely result is a split of points, though a slight advantage is given to the hosts due to the home field asset.
Empoli vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Empoli played Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Empoli: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Cesena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Empoli scores 1.23 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.31 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Empoli 58%, Cesena 65%. Over 2.5: Empoli 50%, Cesena 58%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Cesena has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.30. Empoli: 11.4 shots per match, Cesena: 13.0.
Match halves
Empoli: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.73. Cesena: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Empoli: 76-90+ (7 goals). Cesena: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Empoli presents solid home form with 57% draws at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+4) in home matches. The hosts are difficult to defeat at home, conceding just 1.07 goals per match. Cesena has a balanced away record (46% victories and 46% losses), but the recent form of both teams is weak – Empoli earned only 0.6 points per match in the last five games, and Cesena 0.8 points. The xG statistics are very close (Empoli 1.39 vs Cesena 1.36), suggesting balanced quality of play. Taking into account Empoli's high propensity for draws at home and the low effectiveness of both teams in recent weeks, the most likely result is a split of points, though a slight advantage is given to the hosts due to the home field asset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Empoli | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cesena is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Empoli · 1.31 goals / match - Cesena
Empoli scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Cesena scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Empoli keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Empoli
Over / Under - Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Empoli · 1.35 pts / match - Cesena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Empoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Empoli
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Empoli | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.62 | 2.48 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Empoli 1 - 0 - 0 Cesena. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Empoli vs Cesena?
The Serie B match finished Empoli 1:1 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Empoli vs Cesena?
Empoli score 1.23 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.31. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Empoli's matches and 65% of Cesena's.
What form are Empoli and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Empoli have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Cesena 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Empoli vs Cesena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Empoli vs Cesena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.