Empoli vs Modena: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a very evenly matched encounter. Empoli are in 10th place and have the home advantage, where they score an average of 1.55 goals per match, yet as many as 55% of their home games end in draws. Modena are placed higher (6th place) and show better away effectiveness (40% wins), but their recent form is poor - only 0.8 points per match in the last 5 games. The key factor is Empoli's high draw rate at home and the fact that Modena fail to score in 40% of their away matches. Considering both teams' average xG (1.39 vs 1.97) and goal difference, I expect a tight, tactical match with a share of the points.
Empoli vs Modena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Empoli played Modena in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Empoli: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Modena: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Empoli scores 1.24 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Modena scores 1.33 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Empoli 52%, Modena 43%. Over 2.5: Empoli 48%, Modena 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Modena has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.24. Empoli: 10.8 shots per match, Modena: 16.9.
Match halves
Empoli: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.76. Modena: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Empoli: 76-90+ (7 goals). Modena: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a very evenly matched encounter. Empoli are in 10th place and have the home advantage, where they score an average of 1.55 goals per match, yet as many as 55% of their home games end in draws. Modena are placed higher (6th place) and show better away effectiveness (40% wins), but their recent form is poor - only 0.8 points per match in the last 5 games. The key factor is Empoli's high draw rate at home and the fact that Modena fail to score in 40% of their away matches. Considering both teams' average xG (1.39 vs 1.97) and goal difference, I expect a tight, tactical match with a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Empoli | Modena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Empoli is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Empoli · 0.8 pts / match - Modena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Empoli · 1.33 goals / match - Modena
Modena is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Empoli · 0.81 goals / match - Modena
Empoli scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
Modena scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Empoli keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Empoli
Over / Under - Modena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Empoli · 1.33 pts / match - Modena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Empoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Empoli
Modena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Empoli | Liga | Modena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.57 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Empoli 0 - 0 - 1 Modena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Empoli vs Modena?
The Serie B match finished Empoli 0:0 Modena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Empoli vs Modena?
Empoli score 1.24 goals per game on average and Modena 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Empoli's matches and 43% of Modena's.
What form are Empoli and Modena in?
Over the last 5 games Empoli have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Modena 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Empoli vs Modena?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.