Empoli vs Palermo: match statistics
Empoli vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Empoli played Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Carlo Castellani. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Empoli: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Palermo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Empoli scores 0.80 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Palermo scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Empoli 40%, Palermo 80%. Over 2.5: Empoli 40%, Palermo 60%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Palermo has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.08. Empoli: 10.2 shots per match, Palermo: 15.6.
Match halves
Empoli: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40. Palermo: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Empoli: 16-30 (2 goals). Palermo: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo come into this match as league leaders and are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 wins and a draw), while Empoli have won 2 and lost 3. Away from home, the visitors average 2 goals with an xG of 1.54, whereas Empoli score just 0.5 goals per home game with an xG of 0.97. Palermo also hit the target more often (4.5 shots on target compared with Empoli’s 3.5) and have scored in every away game so far. The hosts’ chances are bolstered by a defence that concedes an average of 0.5 goals at home, particularly as Palermo concede 1.5 goals per away game and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. However, the visitors’ advantage in form and chance creation points towards a Palermo win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 67% of Empoli’s matches and 100% of Palermo’s, supporting the case for both teams to score. Palermo averaged 2.8 goals across its last five matches, with an average xG of 1.67, giving it a strong chance of beating Empoli’s defence, which conceded 1.2 goals per game over that period. Palermo, meanwhile, conceded in every match, while Empoli averages 1.81 xG at home and records 6 shots on target per game. Some caution is warranted given Empoli’s recent scoring form: just 0.8 goals per game, with BTTS landing in 40% of its last five matches. Despite this, the stronger season-long indicators and Palermo’s defensive vulnerability make BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome, meaning both teams are expected to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Palermo have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.8 per game, while Empoli have conceded an average of 1.2 goals over the same period. The hosts have scored just 4 goals in their last 5 matches, but Palermo have conceded an average of 1.4 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet in any of their matches. At least 2 goals were scored in 100% of Palermo’s matches and 67% of Empoli’s, making Over 1.5 a stronger pick than Over 2.5, which landed in 50% and 67% of the teams’ matches, respectively. The projected total of 3.15 goals supports this selection, although Empoli’s weaker recent attacking output warrants caution with higher goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears to be the most likely outcome: Empoli have not conceded in the first half of any of their last five matches, and three of those games were level at the break. Palermo have also kept a clean sheet at half-time in four of their last five matches, although they were leading at the break on three occasions, so an early goal from them remains a genuine threat to this scenario. After the break, however, the form advantage points to the visitors: they have won four of their last five matches, compared with two for Empoli, while Palermo have averaged 1.6 goals in second halves, against 1.2 goals conceded by the hosts. Across their last five matches, Palermo have averaged 2.8 goals scored, compared with Empoli's 0.8, strengthening the case for an away win despite Empoli having won all three of their home matches included in the data. Therefore, a draw at half-time and a Palermo win at full-time is the strongest signal, although the hosts' good home results temper confidence in the prediction.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Empoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palermo is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Empoli · 2.6 pts / match - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Empoli · 2 goals / match - Palermo
Palermo is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Empoli · 1 goals / match - Palermo
Empoli scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Palermo scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Empoli keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Empoli
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Empoli · 2.2 pts / match - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Empoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Empoli
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Empoli | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.69 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 19% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 86% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Empoli 0 - 0 - 2 Palermo. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Empoli vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Empoli 2:4 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Empoli and Palermo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Empoli won 0, Palermo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Empoli vs Palermo?
Empoli score 0.80 goals per game on average and Palermo 2.00. The Serie B average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Empoli's matches and 80% of Palermo's.
What form are Empoli and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Empoli have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Palermo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Empoli vs Palermo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.