Encarnación vs Guaireña: match statistics
Encarnación vs Guaireña: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Encarnación played Guaireña in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 6 July 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Encarnación: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Guaireña: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Encarnación scores 1.00 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Guaireña scores 1.17 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Encarnación 42%, Guaireña 42%. Over 2.5: Encarnación 42%, Guaireña 42%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Encarnación has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.39. Encarnación: 12.7 shots per match, Guaireña: 11.3.
Match halves
Encarnación: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58. Guaireña: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Encarnación: 76-90+ (4 goals). Guaireña: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win ("2"): Guaireña are in markedly better form — in their last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per game, whereas Encarnación have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (0.2 points per game). The home side’s defense is a major concern: Encarnación concedes an average of 2.6 goals per home match and have shipped 10 goals in their last 5 games, while Guaireña concede 1.4 goals on the road and only 4 goals in their last 5. In terms of quality of chances the hosts have a slightly higher xG at home (xG 1.68) than the visitors away (xG 1.32) and register more shots (12.8 vs 10.6), but both teams have a similar conversion rate (11%). Additionally Encarnación are yet to win at home (Win% 0) and have a negative home goal differential of -6, whereas Guaireña have an away differential of -1 and a stronger form trend, giving the visitors greater stability. For these reasons I assess a 60% probability of a Guaireña win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a home upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and shot analysis indicates a moderately high scoring potential for both sides: xG for Encarnación is 1.44 and for Guaireña 1.32, translating to an estimated probability of scoring at least once of ~76% and 73% respectively. Combined xG of 2.76 is above the league average of 2.58, and shots on target are 4.71 (home) and 4.4 (away), signaling elevated offensive activity from both teams. Seasonal BTTS rates diverge: Encarnación has 29% of matches with both teams scoring this season, while Guaireña has 60%, but in the last 5 matches Encarnación’s BTTS is 60% and they concede an average of 2.0 goals per match (10 conceded in 5), whereas Guaireña’s BTTS is 40% and they concede 0.8 goals per match (4 in 5). Given the higher xG figures (1.44 and 1.32), solid shots on target, and the fact that Encarnación have been conceding heavily recently, BTTS - Yes is more likely — I estimate BTTS 'Yes' at 57% vs 'No' 43%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model forecasts 1.62 goals for Encarnación and 1.34 for Guaireña (total 2.96), calculated as the average of offensive xG 1.44 (home) and 1.32 (away) and xG conceded 1.8 and 1.35. Over 1.5 goals occurred in 71% of Encarnación’s matches and 80% of Guaireña’s matches, which together with the projected total of 2.96 goals provides a strong signal for Over 1.5. The 2.5 line is more balanced: season-long Over 2.5 is 43% for the home side and 40% for the away side, but the home team’s last 5 matches produced Over 2.5 in 60% of cases, hence a moderate edge for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is less likely, since season values of 29% (home) and 40% (away) and the 2.96 projection are below the 3.5 threshold, so Under 3.5 appears safer. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5, therefore I recommend a bet on the Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is the high proportion of draws at half-time: home teams were level at the break in 57% of matches, visitors in 60% (around 58% on average), so a HT draw is the most likely outcome. For the full-time result seasonal data favor the home side — they win 57% of matches versus 20% for the visitors, with seasonal points per game 1.86 for Encarnación vs 1.0 for Guaireña. Second-half statistics are crucial: the home team averages 0.86 goals scored and 0.43 conceded after the break (a +0.43 differential), while the away team scores 0.8 and concedes 1.0 (a −0.20 differential), giving Encarnación the advantage after half-time. xG and shot metrics confirm a moderate advantage for the hosts (xG 1.44 vs 1.32 and 11.86 shots vs 10.6), therefore I recommend as the best pick a Half-Time draw with a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Encarnación | Guaireña | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guaireña is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Encarnación · 2 pts / match - Guaireña
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaireña is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Encarnación · 1.17 goals / match - Guaireña
Guaireña is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Encarnación · 1.25 goals / match - Guaireña
Encarnación scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Guaireña keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Guaireña scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Encarnación keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Encarnación
Over / Under - Guaireña
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Encarnación is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Encarnación · 1.08 pts / match - Guaireña
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Encarnación - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guaireña - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Encarnación
Guaireña
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Encarnación | Liga | Guaireña | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Encarnación 1 - 0 - 1 Guaireña. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Encarnación vs Guaireña?
The Division Intermedia match finished Encarnación 1:2 Guaireña. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Encarnación and Guaireña?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Encarnación won 1, Guaireña won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Encarnación vs Guaireña?
Encarnación score 1.00 goals per game on average and Guaireña 1.17. The Division Intermedia average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Encarnación's matches and 42% of Guaireña's.
What form are Encarnación and Guaireña in?
Over the last 5 games Encarnación have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Guaireña 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Encarnación vs Guaireña?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.