Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96: match statistics

Hannover 96 are enjoying a clearly better run of results: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five matches, remaining unbeaten, while Energie Cottbus have suffered 2 defeats. The visitors scored as many as 19 goals during this period, averaging 3.8 per game, compared with Cottbus’s 8 goals, which points to a significant advantage in attacking efficiency. Hannover’s defence also looks slightly more reliable, having conceded 6 goals in five appearances, compared with 7 for the hosts. Energie Cottbus do occupy the higher league position—6th compared with 8th—but current form and Hannover’s 11-goal advantage in goals scored provide stronger arguments in favour of the visitors. The hosts may benefit from home advantage, but the majority of the data points to a Hannover 96 victory.

Both teams have recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches, giving them an identical rate of 60%. Energie Cottbus scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.4 during this period, while their average xG stood at 1.39, compared with 1.31 xG allowed to opponents. Hannover 96 are in very strong offensive form: they have scored 19 goals in five matches, averaging 3.8 per game, with an xG of 1.52. However, the visitors conceded an average of 1.2 goals, so the hosts have genuine arguments for breaching their defence. The most likely scenario is therefore a goal for both sides, although Hannover’s run of four consecutive victories slightly reduces confidence in the pick.

Energie Cottbus’s last five matches produced an average of 3.0 goals, with the team scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. Hannover 96’s matches were even more open: the team scored as many as 19 goals in five appearances, averaging 3.8 per match, while conceding 1.2 goals. The 1.5-goal line was surpassed in 3 of Cottbus’s last 5 matches and in all 5 of Hannover’s matches at the 2.5-goal level or higher. Although Hannover’s xG stood at 1.52 and Cottbus’s at 1.39, the visitors’ high conversion rate and a combined 13 goals conceded by both teams across ten matches support the scenario of at least two goals. Over 1.5 offers the strongest edge, as it does not require Hannover to maintain the extreme scoring pace needed to cover higher lines.

Hannover 96 are in significantly better form: they have collected 13 points from their last five matches, winning four times and suffering no defeats, while Energie Cottbus have earned nine points and recorded two losses. During this period, the visitors averaged 3.8 goals per match—more than twice the hosts’ 1.6—and conceded only 1.2 compared with Cottbus’s 1.4. Hannover were leading at the break in 60% of their recent matches and did not lose any of them after the first half, whereas Cottbus went into the interval behind in as many as 40% of cases. The visitors’ attacking advantage remains clear after half-time, as they averaged 2.4 goals compared with the hosts’ 0.8, with at least two goals scored in the second half of all five matches. The strongest scenario is therefore Hannover leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle.