Germany - 2. BundesligaStadion der FreundschaftData current as of 16 October 2026

Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Energie Cottbus play Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Stadion der Freundschaft.

Current form

Energie Cottbus: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nürnberg: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Energie Cottbus scores 2.14 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Nürnberg scores 2.86 and concedes 1.43. League average: 3.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Energie Cottbus 71%, Nürnberg 71%. Over 2.5: Energie Cottbus 86%, Nürnberg 86%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Nürnberg has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.78. Energie Cottbus: 16.3 shots per match, Nürnberg: 17.3.

Match halves

Energie Cottbus: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.29. Nürnberg: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.43.

Goals by minute

Energie Cottbus: 61-75 (4 goals). Nürnberg: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

2. Bundesliga: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.32)
(4.00)
(1.93)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Energie CottbusNürnberg
2.14Goals scored / match2.86
Energie CottbusNürnberg
2.29Goals conceded / match1.43
Energie CottbusNürnberg
54%Average possession56%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
5.71Shots on target / match6.86
Energie CottbusNürnberg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.29Shots per match17.29
Energie CottbusNürnberg
5.71Shots on target6.86
Energie CottbusNürnberg
13.2%Shot conversion16.5%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
54%Possession56%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
1.78xG for1.83
Energie CottbusNürnberg
1.86xG against1.44
Energie CottbusNürnberg

Shooting quality

Energie Cottbus: AttackingNürnberg: Dominant
Energie CottbusNürnberg
Accuracy (shots on target)35%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nürnberg is 120% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Energie Cottbus · 2.2 pts / match - Nürnberg

Energie Cottbus
LDWDL
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
WLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 2.07Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Nürnberg
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W29% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-0
2.43 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nürnberg is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

2.14 goals / match - Energie Cottbus · 2.86 goals / match - Nürnberg

Nürnberg is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.29 goals / match - Energie Cottbus · 1.43 goals / match - Nürnberg

Energie Cottbus scoring profile: very strong

Energie Cottbus scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Nürnberg scoring profile: very strong

Nürnberg scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Energie Cottbus keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

15Goals scored (season)20
Energie CottbusNürnberg
16Goals conceded (season)10
Energie CottbusNürnberg
4.43Average goals in match4.29
Energie CottbusNürnberg
12Goals scored (last 5)13
Energie CottbusNürnberg
12Goals conceded (last 5)8
Energie CottbusNürnberg

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal100%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
57%2 goals86%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
57%3 goals57%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
14%4 goals43%
Energie CottbusNürnberg

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal71%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
57%2 goals43%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
57%3 goals14%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
29%4 goals14%
Energie CottbusNürnberg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

57%BTTS at half-time43%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
29%BTTS in both halves14%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
57%Scored in both halves71%
Energie CottbusNürnberg

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
80%BTTS - last 580%
Energie CottbusNürnberg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
71%Min. 2 goals before half-time86%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
Energie CottbusNürnberg

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Energie CottbusNürnberg

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nürnberg is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Energie Cottbus · 1.71 pts / match - Nürnberg

Energie Cottbus - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing
Nürnberg - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.71
Energie CottbusNürnberg
0.86Goals scored (1st half)1.43
Energie CottbusNürnberg
1.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
Energie CottbusNürnberg
2Average goals (1st half)2.29
Energie CottbusNürnberg
29%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
14%No goal before half-time14%
Energie CottbusNürnberg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)2.14
Energie CottbusNürnberg
1.29Goals scored (2nd half)1.43
Energie CottbusNürnberg
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Energie CottbusNürnberg
2.43Average goals (2nd half)2
Energie CottbusNürnberg
29%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Energie CottbusNürnberg
43%No goal after half-time14%
Energie CottbusNürnberg

Energie Cottbus - second-half results

43% W0% D57% L
9
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nürnberg - second-half results

57% W43% D0% L
12
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Energie Cottbus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match2.02.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Nürnberg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Energie Cottbus
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Nürnberg
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
5
0
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 2.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
135%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Energie Cottbus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
155%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Nürnberg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
193%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Energie CottbusLigaNürnberg
Average goals in match▲ 4.433.22▲ 4.29
Both teams scored▲ 71%60%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 86%62%▲ 86%
Clean sheets▼ 14%22%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%78%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%81%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / match
1.48
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Energie Cottbus and Nürnberg play?

Energie Cottbus face Nürnberg on 16 October 2026 in 2. Bundesliga at Stadion der Freundschaft. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg?

Energie Cottbus score 2.14 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 2.86. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Energie Cottbus's matches and 71% of Nürnberg's.

What form are Energie Cottbus and Nürnberg in?

Over the last 5 games Energie Cottbus have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nürnberg 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.