Energie Cottbus vs Ulm: match statistics
Energie Cottbus holds a high 2nd position in the table and displays impressive home form with 53% wins at home and a goal difference of +12 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.13 goals per match in home games, which, with a solid conversion rate of 16% and an average of 5.27 shots on target per match, makes them a dangerous offensive team. Ulm is in a difficult situation in 18th place, with disastrous away form (64% losses, only 21% wins) and a negative goal difference of -11 in away matches. The visitors have gained only 0.4 points per match in their last 5 games, losing 3 of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 11 goals. The difference in quality, form, and efficiency of both teams clearly points to a certain victory for Energie Cottbus.
Energie Cottbus vs Ulm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Energie Cottbus played Ulm in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Energie Cottbus: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ulm: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Energie Cottbus scores 1.86 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Ulm scores 1.31 and concedes 2.10. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Energie Cottbus 72%, Ulm 72%. Over 2.5: Energie Cottbus 72%, Ulm 72%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Energie Cottbus has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.44. Energie Cottbus: 13.7 shots per match, Ulm: 12.0.
Match halves
Energie Cottbus: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.07. Ulm: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Energie Cottbus: 61-75 (12 goals). Ulm: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Energie Cottbus holds a high 2nd position in the table and displays impressive home form with 53% wins at home and a goal difference of +12 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.13 goals per match in home games, which, with a solid conversion rate of 16% and an average of 5.27 shots on target per match, makes them a dangerous offensive team. Ulm is in a difficult situation in 18th place, with disastrous away form (64% losses, only 21% wins) and a negative goal difference of -11 in away matches. The visitors have gained only 0.4 points per match in their last 5 games, losing 3 of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 11 goals. The difference in quality, form, and efficiency of both teams clearly points to a certain victory for Energie Cottbus.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Energie Cottbus | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Energie Cottbus is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Energie Cottbus · 0.4 pts / match - Ulm
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Energie Cottbus is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Energie Cottbus · 1.31 goals / match - Ulm
Energie Cottbus is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Energie Cottbus · 2.1 goals / match - Ulm
Energie Cottbus scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Ulm scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Energie Cottbus keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Energie Cottbus
Over / Under - Ulm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Energie Cottbus is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - Energie Cottbus · 0.79 pts / match - Ulm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Energie Cottbus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Energie Cottbus
Ulm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Energie Cottbus | Liga | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.34 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Energie Cottbus 1 - 0 - 0 Ulm. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Energie Cottbus vs Ulm?
The 3. Liga match finished Energie Cottbus 1:1 Ulm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Energie Cottbus vs Ulm?
Energie Cottbus score 1.86 goals per game on average and Ulm 1.31. The 3. Liga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Energie Cottbus's matches and 72% of Ulm's.
What form are Energie Cottbus and Ulm in?
Over the last 5 games Energie Cottbus have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ulm 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Energie Cottbus vs Ulm?
The statistical background for Energie Cottbus vs Ulm — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.