Enosis vs Ethnikos Achna: match statistics
Enosis vs Ethnikos Achna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Enosis played Ethnikos Achna in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Enosis: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Ethnikos Achna: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Enosis scores 0.32 and concedes 2.48 goals per match. Ethnikos Achna scores 0.97 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Enosis 26%, Ethnikos Achna 42%. Over 2.5: Enosis 55%, Ethnikos Achna 52%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Ethnikos Achna has higher xG: 1.19 vs 0.70. Enosis: 5.1 shots per match, Ethnikos Achna: 9.4.
Match halves
Enosis: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.16. Ethnikos Achna: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Enosis: 0-15 (3 goals). Ethnikos Achna: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ethnikos Achna is the favorite based on the numbers: they have 9 wins this season versus Enosis's 1 and have scored 30 goals versus the hosts' 10, while conceding fewer goals (50 vs 77). In the last 5 matches Ethnikos averaged 1.4 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Enosis only 0.6 points (1 win, 4 losses) and conceded 10 goals in those five games. At home Enosis averages 0.27 goals per match, fails to score in 80% of games and has a 100% home loss rate, whereas Ethnikos away averages 0.75 goals per match, xG 1.24, 9.94 shots and 3.31 shots on target and fails to score in 44% of away matches. Defensively both teams are vulnerable (Enosis 77 conceded this season, average 2.0 at home; Ethnikos 50 conceded, average 2.19 away), so I expect an open game with a clear advantage for the visitors in chance creation and a higher probability of them winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because Enosis recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and Ethnikos in 60%, indicating a strong short-term trend for both sides to be involved in goal exchanges. This season the home side averages 1.2 goals scored with xG 1.12, while the visitors score 0.75 with xG 1.24 — both teams generate roughly 1.1–1.3 xG and therefore have clear goal-scoring potential. Ethnikos concedes 2.19 goals per game on average and has only 6% clean sheets, whereas Enosis keeps 27% clean sheets, which together increase the likelihood of both teams scoring. Shot and shots-on-target numbers are comparable (8.8 vs 9.94 shots; 3.47 vs 3.31 on target), and the league average BTTS is 42%, so the recent rates (80% and 60%) significantly exceed the league level. Given the elevated xG for both teams, the visitors’ defensive weaknesses and the strong 5-match trends, the Goal/Goal scenario looks more probable than No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: home xG is 1.12 while Ethnikos concedes an average xG of 1.67, yielding Enosis expected goals ≈ (1.12+1.67)/2 = 1.395 ≈ 1.40. For Ethnikos, xG 1.24 versus home conceded xG 1.36 gives ≈ (1.24+1.36)/2 = 1.30, total ≈ 2.70. From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.70 the probabilities are OVER 1.5 ≈ 75%, OVER 2.5 ≈ 51% and OVER 3.5 ≈ 29%; additionally seasonal indicators support this view: Over 1.5 for Enosis 53% and for Ethnikos 75%, Over 0.5 respectively 93% and 100%. Shot and conversion stats (Enosis 8.8 shots with 3.47 on target at 14% conversion; Ethnikos 9.94 shots with 3.31 on target at 8% conversion) and scarce clean sheets (CS: 27% home, 6% away) strengthen the signal for Over 1.5, therefore I recommend a bet on OVER 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hosts (Enosis) are clear favorites: they average 1.67 points per match versus 0.31 for the visitors (Ethnikos Achna) and have a 53% win rate compared to the visitors’ 6%, indicating a substantial advantage. At half-time the hosts lead in 33% of their matches and score an average of 0.67 goals by the break, while the visitors average 0.25 goals by half-time and are behind at the break in 63% of their games; the mean of these indicators yields roughly a 48% chance that Enosis will have the lead at the break. Ethnikos Achna concede on average 2.19 goals per match and 1.5 goals after the break, while the hosts score on average 0.53 goals in second halves and have 80% of matches with at least one second-half goal, which favors extending the lead. Considering the hosts’ advantage in second halves (on average 1.2 points gained in second halves versus 0.5 points for the visitors) and the superior shot conversion (14% vs 8%), the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1, which I assign a 36% probability. The second strongest option is a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1 ~18%), followed by draw/draw (X/X ~14%); I assess the total probability of an away win at about 10% given their poor 0.31 points per match and 81% loss rate.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Enosis | Ethnikos Achna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethnikos Achna is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Enosis · 1.4 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethnikos Achna is 203% better for: goals scored per match.
0.32 goals / match - Enosis · 0.97 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna
Ethnikos Achna is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.48 goals / match - Enosis · 1.61 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna
Enosis scores in 26% of matches (8 of 31 matches), while Ethnikos Achna keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
Ethnikos Achna scores in 55% of matches (17 of 31 matches), while Enosis keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Enosis
Over / Under - Ethnikos Achna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethnikos Achna is 135% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.48 pts / match - Enosis · 1.13 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Enosis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 3%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethnikos Achna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -18 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Enosis
Ethnikos Achna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Enosis | Liga | Ethnikos Achna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.59 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 42% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 31% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Enosis 0 - 0 - 2 Ethnikos Achna. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Enosis vs Ethnikos Achna?
The First Division match finished Enosis 1:3 Ethnikos Achna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Enosis and Ethnikos Achna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Enosis won 0, Ethnikos Achna won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Enosis vs Ethnikos Achna?
Enosis score 0.32 goals per game on average and Ethnikos Achna 0.97. The First Division average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Enosis's matches and 42% of Ethnikos Achna's.
What form are Enosis and Ethnikos Achna in?
Over the last 5 games Enosis have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Ethnikos Achna 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Enosis vs Ethnikos Achna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.