ENPPI vs Masr: match statistics

ENPPI sit 19th and are winless in their three matches this season, conceding 6 goals. At home, they lost their only fixture despite averaging 54% possession. However, the hosts create plenty of chances, averaging 16 shots with an xG of 1.56, which should enable them to put Masr’s defence under pressure. The visitors are higher in the table, in 11th place, and remain unbeaten away from home: they have won one of their two matches and kept a clean sheet in both. Masr’s attacking output on the road is limited, though, as they average just 0.5 goals and have failed to score in 50% of such fixtures. Therefore, a closely fought draw is the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal is the very poor offensive efficiency of both teams: ENPPI have yet to score in the competition, while Masr average just 0.5 goals per match. BTTS - Yes has not occurred in any of the teams’ matches so far, while Masr have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their games. In their last five matches, Masr scored just 0.2 goals per game, with an xG of 0.88, which significantly limits the visitors’ chances of finding the net. ENPPI have conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five outings, but their own scoring average is only 0.8, while Masr allow opponents just 1.0 goal per match. The league also supports a cautious scenario, as BTTS occurs in only 33% of matches, making it more likely that at least one side will fail to score.

The projected total of 1.97 goals is close to the low league average of 1.97, which limits the case for an open game. Masr have averaged just 0.2 goals in their last five matches, while ENPPI have averaged 0.8, so the attacking potential of both sides remains limited despite the hosts’ weaker defense. Across the entire current sample, neither team has exceeded the 2.5-goal line, and Masr have kept a clean sheet in 100% of the available matches. ENPPI have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game recently, but Masr’s average xG over five matches stands at just 0.88, reducing the likelihood of a scoreline capable of driving the over. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as even a two-goal scenario remains clearly more likely than a game with at least four goals.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Masr were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and failed to score a single first-half goal during that period. ENPPI averaged 0.8 goals in the first half, but Masr conceded only 0.4 goals per match before the break and kept a clean sheet at half-time in 60% of their recent appearances. After the interval, however, the advantage shifts to the visitors: ENPPI have failed to score in the second half in each of their last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.2 goals during that period. Masr averaged 0.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded after half-time, while the hosts also have weaker attacking xG figures, 1.04 compared with the visitors’ 1.16, alongside a clearly worse xG against: 1.74 versus 1.05. This points to a cautious opening and a greater likelihood of Masr securing the win in the latter stages of the match.