Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City: match statistics
Entebbe UPPC presents definitely better form, earning 2.2 points per match in the last five meetings, while Mbarara City achieves only 1.0 point. The hosts are undefeated in the last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and have not conceded any goals during this period, which proves their solid defense. Mbarara City has a disastrous away record – just 13% wins, 50% losses, and zero clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.38 goals per match. The goal difference (-10 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts in home/away matches) and the advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.26) further speak for Entebbe UPPC. Taking all statistics into account, especially the excellent recent form of the hosts and Mbarara's weakness on the road, I definitely favor a victory for Entebbe UPPC.
Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Entebbe UPPC played Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Entebbe UPPC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Mbarara City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Entebbe UPPC scores 1.06 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 0.88 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Entebbe UPPC 25%, Mbarara City 63%. Over 2.5: Entebbe UPPC 13%, Mbarara City 31%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Entebbe UPPC has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.35. Entebbe UPPC: 4.4 shots per match, Mbarara City: 7.6.
Match halves
Entebbe UPPC: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.19. Mbarara City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Entebbe UPPC: 0-15 (11 goals). Mbarara City: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Entebbe UPPC presents definitely better form, earning 2.2 points per match in the last five meetings, while Mbarara City achieves only 1.0 point. The hosts are undefeated in the last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and have not conceded any goals during this period, which proves their solid defense. Mbarara City has a disastrous away record – just 13% wins, 50% losses, and zero clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.38 goals per match. The goal difference (-10 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts in home/away matches) and the advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.26) further speak for Entebbe UPPC. Taking all statistics into account, especially the excellent recent form of the hosts and Mbarara's weakness on the road, I definitely favor a victory for Entebbe UPPC.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Entebbe UPPC | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 10% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.41 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Entebbe UPPC is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Entebbe UPPC · 1 pts / match - Mbarara City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Entebbe UPPC is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Entebbe UPPC · 0.88 goals / match - Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC is 179% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.56 goals / match - Entebbe UPPC · 1.56 goals / match - Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Mbarara City scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Entebbe UPPC keeps a clean sheet in 56% (9 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Entebbe UPPC
Over / Under - Mbarara City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Entebbe UPPC is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Entebbe UPPC · 0.81 pts / match - Mbarara City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Entebbe UPPC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Entebbe UPPC | Liga | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.63 | 2.19 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 42% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 39% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 37% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 19% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 13% | 59% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Entebbe UPPC 0 - 1 - 0 Mbarara City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Entebbe UPPC 1:0 Mbarara City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City?
Entebbe UPPC score 1.06 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 0.88. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Entebbe UPPC's matches and 63% of Mbarara City's.
What form are Entebbe UPPC and Mbarara City in?
Over the last 5 games Entebbe UPPC have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Mbarara City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.