Enyimba vs Abia Warriors: match statistics
Enyimba vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Enyimba played Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Enyimba: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Abia Warriors: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Enyimba scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Abia Warriors scores 0.84 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Enyimba 42%, Abia Warriors 26%. Over 2.5: Enyimba 35%, Abia Warriors 13%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Abia Warriors has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.22. Enyimba: 6.3 shots per match, Abia Warriors: 6.3.
Match halves
Enyimba: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61. Abia Warriors: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Enyimba: 76-90+ (10 goals). Abia Warriors: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Enyimba have a clear home advantage: 0.6 conceded per match, 53% CS and higher xG (1.52) plus greater possession (54%). The hosts generate more shots and chances (avg 11 shots and 3.91 SoT at home) than Abia do away. Abia Warriors perform poorly on the road — only 0.53 goals per match, xGFor 0.85 and 53% matches without scoring, and concede 1.13 away. Recent results show slightly better overall form for the visitors, but their high away loss rate (60%) and low efficiency justify favoring the hosts. Considering home advantage and the offensive-defensive metrics, an Enyimba win is more likely than a draw or an Abia win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data indicate a strong lean toward no BTTS: Enyimba at home concede only 0.38 and have high CS rate (69%), while Abia Warriors average just 0.53 goals away. Season BTTS rates are low (Enyimba 31%, Abia Warriors 20%) and league CS 76% further reduces BTTS probability. Although Enyimba's last5 BTTS is elevated (60%), it appears a short-term anomaly versus robust home defensive stats and visitors' limited offensive output (xG 0.85, SoT 2.6). Overall pick: NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Enyimba at home shows strong defense (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.38, CS% 69) and offensive dominance (avg 14.9 shots and 5.25 SOT), indicating they will create chances. Abia Warriors away have weak offensive output (seasonScoredAVG_away 0.53) and often concede per xG (xg_against_avg_away 1.71), while the league is low-scoring (league_seasonAVG 1.88). Projected expected goals (~1.30-0.70) reflect home advantage and guests’ modest finishing for a total around 2.0. Low season frequency of >2.5 games (~13% each) limits higher score probability. Strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5, where the highest probability of success is expected.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Enyimba show a clear HT statistical edge: 50% leads at half-time, 0.63 average HT goals and an exceptional 94% season HT clean sheet rate, indicating first-half dominance. Over the full match the hosts have much higher efficiency (seasonPPG 2.06 vs 1.07) and better xG and shot volumes, increasing the probability of a home win by full-time. Abia Warriors perform poorly away, rarely lead at HT (7%) and face higher xG against, reducing their comeback chances. The most likely and strongest signal is Enyimba leading at HT and winning at FT (1/1). Alternative scenarios (HT draw then home win or full-time draw) exist but are notably less probable.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Enyimba | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Abia Warriors is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Enyimba · 1.8 pts / match - Abia Warriors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Enyimba is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Enyimba · 0.84 goals / match - Abia Warriors
Abia Warriors is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Enyimba · 0.74 goals / match - Abia Warriors
Enyimba scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 48% (15 of 31 matches).
Abia Warriors scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Enyimba keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Enyimba
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Abia Warriors is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Enyimba · 1.42 pts / match - Abia Warriors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Enyimba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Enyimba
Abia Warriors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Enyimba | Liga | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.10 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 37% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 60% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Enyimba 0 - 1 - 0 Abia Warriors. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Enyimba vs Abia Warriors?
The NPFL match finished Enyimba 2:1 Abia Warriors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Enyimba vs Abia Warriors?
Enyimba score 1.00 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 0.84. The NPFL average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Enyimba's matches and 26% of Abia Warriors's.
What form are Enyimba and Abia Warriors in?
Over the last 5 games Enyimba have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Abia Warriors 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Enyimba vs Abia Warriors?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Enyimba vs Abia Warriors: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.