Türkiye - 1. LigData current as of 18 September 2026

Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Erokspor play Fatih Karagümrük in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

Erokspor: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Fatih Karagümrük: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Erokspor scores 0.57 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Fatih Karagümrük scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Erokspor 43%, Fatih Karagümrük 86%. Over 2.5: Erokspor 29%, Fatih Karagümrük 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Fatih Karagümrük has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.41. Erokspor: 11.9 shots per match, Fatih Karagümrük: 13.4.

Match halves

Erokspor: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43. Fatih Karagümrük: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Erokspor: 76-90+ (2 goals). Fatih Karagümrük: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Lig: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.88)
(3.45)
(3.60)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0.57Goals scored / match1.43
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
1.14Goals conceded / match1.57
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
57%Average possession48%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
3.29Shots on target / match4.43
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.86Shots per match13.43
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
3.29Shots on target4.43
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
4.8%Shot conversion10.6%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
57%Possession48%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
1.41xG for1.52
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
1.2xG against1.4
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

Shooting quality

Erokspor: BalancedFatih Karagümrük: Balanced
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
Accuracy (shots on target)28%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fatih Karagümrük is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Erokspor · 1.2 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük

Erokspor
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W71% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-5-2
0.71 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
DLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Fatih Karagümrük
WDDLD
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
LDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fatih Karagümrük is 151% better for: goals scored per match.

0.57 goals / match - Erokspor · 1.43 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük

Erokspor is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Erokspor · 1.57 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük

Erokspor scoring profile: strong

Erokspor scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

Fatih Karagümrük scoring profile: very strong

Fatih Karagümrük scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Erokspor keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

4Goals scored (season)10
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
8Goals conceded (season)11
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
1.71Average goals in match3
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
3Goals scored (last 5)8
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal86%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
14%2 goals43%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0%3 goals14%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0%4 goals0%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal100%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
29%2 goals29%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
14%3 goals14%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0%4 goals14%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

86%
Fatih Karagümrük - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 7 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0%BTTS in both halves0%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
14%Scored in both halves0%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
40%BTTS - last 5100%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fatih Karagümrük is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.57 pts / match - Erokspor · 1.29 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük

Erokspor - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing
Fatih Karagümrük - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.57Points per match (1st half)1.29
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0.14Goals scored (1st half)0.57
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0.86Average goals (1st half)1
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
86%No goal before half-time57%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)0.86
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)1.14
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
0.86Average goals (2nd half)2
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
57%Clean sheet after half-time14%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük
57%No goal after half-time57%
EroksporFatih Karagümrük

Erokspor - second-half results

14% W71% D14% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Erokspor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Fatih Karagümrük - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Erokspor
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Fatih Karagümrük
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Erokspor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
38%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Fatih Karagümrük

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).

Teams vs league

EroksporLigaFatih Karagümrük
Average goals in match 1.712.62 3.00
Both teams scored 43%52% 86%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%46% 43%
Clean sheets 29%28% 0%
Goal before half-time 43%77% 71%
Goal after half-time 57%75% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Erokspor and Fatih Karagümrük play?

Erokspor face Fatih Karagümrük on 19 September 2026 in 1. Lig. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Erokspor score 0.57 goals per game on average and Fatih Karagümrük 1.43. The 1. Lig average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Erokspor's matches and 86% of Fatih Karagümrük's.

What form are Erokspor and Fatih Karagümrük in?

Over the last 5 games Erokspor have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Fatih Karagümrük 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.