Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus: match statistics
Energie Cottbus are the clear favorites for this match, sitting in 1st place in the table compared to Erzgebirge Aue's 17th position. The visitors are in significantly better form with 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches compared to just 0.4 points for the hosts. Cottbus have a clear advantage in offensive efficiency (49 goals this season vs 27) and a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 10%). Erzgebirge Aue have not won any of their last 5 matches and have a 50% goal inefficiency rate at home, which further weakens their chances. Although Cottbus are playing away, their 45% win rate in away matches and solid form (2 wins, 3 draws in their last 5 games) give them a realistic chance of taking all three points. Considering all statistics, an away win is the most likely outcome, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Aue's home tenacity.
Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Erzgebirge Aue played Energie Cottbus in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Erzgebirge Aue: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Energie Cottbus: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.13 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Energie Cottbus scores 2.04 and concedes 1.54. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Erzgebirge Aue 54%, Energie Cottbus 75%. Over 2.5: Erzgebirge Aue 58%, Energie Cottbus 75%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Energie Cottbus has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.48. Erzgebirge Aue: 12.3 shots per match, Energie Cottbus: 13.7.
Match halves
Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67. Energie Cottbus: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Erzgebirge Aue: 76-90+ (8 goals). Energie Cottbus: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Energie Cottbus are the clear favorites for this match, sitting in 1st place in the table compared to Erzgebirge Aue's 17th position. The visitors are in significantly better form with 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches compared to just 0.4 points for the hosts. Cottbus have a clear advantage in offensive efficiency (49 goals this season vs 27) and a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 10%). Erzgebirge Aue have not won any of their last 5 matches and have a 50% goal inefficiency rate at home, which further weakens their chances. Although Cottbus are playing away, their 45% win rate in away matches and solid form (2 wins, 3 draws in their last 5 games) give them a realistic chance of taking all three points. Considering all statistics, an away win is the most likely outcome, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Aue's home tenacity.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Erzgebirge Aue | Energie Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Energie Cottbus is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.8 pts / match - Energie Cottbus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Energie Cottbus is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 2.04 goals / match - Energie Cottbus
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Energie Cottbus keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Energie Cottbus scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
Over / Under - Energie Cottbus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Energie Cottbus is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.79 pts / match - Energie Cottbus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Energie Cottbus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Erzgebirge Aue | Liga | Energie Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 3.15 | ▲ 3.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 22% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 0 - 1 Energie Cottbus. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
The 3. Liga match finished Erzgebirge Aue 1:2 Energie Cottbus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
Erzgebirge Aue score 1.13 goals per game on average and Energie Cottbus 2.04. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Erzgebirge Aue's matches and 75% of Energie Cottbus's.
What form are Erzgebirge Aue and Energie Cottbus in?
Over the last 5 games Erzgebirge Aue have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Energie Cottbus 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.