Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Erzgebirge Aue played Ingolstadt in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Erzgebirge Aue: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ingolstadt: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.06 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Ingolstadt scores 1.69 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.15 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Erzgebirge Aue 56%, Ingolstadt 81%. Over 2.5: Erzgebirge Aue 50%, Ingolstadt 63%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Ingolstadt has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.59. Erzgebirge Aue: 13.3 shots per match, Ingolstadt: 14.9.

Match halves

Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Ingolstadt: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.13.

Goals by minute

Erzgebirge Aue: 76-90+ (5 goals). Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

65Possession (%)35
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
14Shots8
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
6Shots on target5
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
1.93xG1.25
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
8Corners7
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
87Dangerous attacks55
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
16Fouls9
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
2Cards3
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
1.06Goals scored / match1.69
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
1.63Goals conceded / match1.5
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
50%Average possession51%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
4.88Shots on target / match5.94
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.25Shots per match14.94
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
4.88Shots on target5.94
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
8%Shot conversion11.3%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
50%Possession51%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
1.59xG for1.8
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
1.79xG against1.8
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

Shooting quality

Erzgebirge Aue: BalancedIngolstadt: Attacking
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
Accuracy (shots on target)37%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Erzgebirge Aue
DWDDL
Season result split
25% W31% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-7
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 2.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Ingolstadt
WLLLW
Season result split
31% W31% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-6
1.25 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ingolstadt is 59% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.69 goals / match - Ingolstadt

Ingolstadt is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.5 goals / match - Ingolstadt

Erzgebirge Aue scoring profile: very strong

Erzgebirge Aue scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).

Ingolstadt scoring profile: very strong

Ingolstadt scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

17Goals scored (season)27
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
26Goals conceded (season)24
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
2.69Average goals in match3.19
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal88%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
25%2 goals38%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
6%3 goals19%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
6%4 goals13%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal88%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
50%2 goals50%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
31%3 goals13%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
6%4 goals0%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time25%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
13%Scored in both halves25%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
80%BTTS - last 580%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ingolstadt is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.31 pts / match - Ingolstadt

Erzgebirge Aue - half-time state
25% leading31% draw44% trailing
Ingolstadt - half-time state
25% leading56% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.31
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.13
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
38%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
63%No goal before half-time56%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2.06
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
50%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt
56%No goal after half-time31%
Erzgebirge AueIngolstadt

Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results

31% W25% R44% P
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ingolstadt - second-half results

44% W19% R38% P
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Erzgebirge Aue - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ingolstadt - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.6
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Erzgebirge Aue
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
6
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
6
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Ingolstadt
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
4
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
1
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Erzgebirge Aue

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Ingolstadt

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

Erzgebirge AueLigaIngolstadt
Average goals in match 2.693.15 3.19
Both teams scored 56%64% 81%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%63% 63%
Clean sheets 25%21% 13%
Goal before half-time 81%75% 63%
Goal after half-time 75%85% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. IngolstadtGoalFrederik Carlsen
  2. IngolstadtRed cardJulian Kügel
  3. Erzgebirge AueGoalMarvin StefaniakAssist: Anthony Barylla
  4. Erzgebirge AueGoalJonah FabischAssist: Eric Uhlmann
  5. Erzgebirge AueSubstitutionOn: Jannic EhlersOff: Ricky Bornschein
  6. Erzgebirge AueYellow cardJamilu Collins
  7. Erzgebirge AueYellow cardTristan Zobel
  8. IngolstadtGoalJonas Scholz
  9. IngolstadtYellow cardFrederik Carlsen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Simon SchreinerMatches officiated: 12
4.42Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 275%Home wins8%Draws17%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt?

The 3. Liga match finished Erzgebirge Aue 2:2 Ingolstadt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt?

Erzgebirge Aue score 1.06 goals per game on average and Ingolstadt 1.69. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Erzgebirge Aue's matches and 81% of Ingolstadt's.

What form are Erzgebirge Aue and Ingolstadt in?

Over the last 5 games Erzgebirge Aue have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ingolstadt 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.