Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück: match statistics
Osnabrück is the decisive favorite of this meeting, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 58% wins away. The visitors present excellent form with 2.2 points per match in the last 5 meetings (3 wins, 2 draws) and a scoring efficiency at the level of 1.92 goals per away match. Erzgebirge Aue finds itself in a dramatic situation in 17th position, without a victory in the last 5 matches (0.4 points per match) and with only 31% wins at home. The hosts have a problem with finishing actions (10% shot conversion compared to 15% for the visitors) and have not scored a goal in 46% of home matches. The difference in goal difference (+8 for Osnabrück away compared to -1 for Aue at home) and the clear advantage in form and quality of the visiting team speak for their victory in this match.
Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Erzgebirge Aue played Osnabrück in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Erzgebirge Aue: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Osnabrück: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.12 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Osnabrück scores 1.52 and concedes 0.96. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Erzgebirge Aue 56%, Osnabrück 40%. Over 2.5: Erzgebirge Aue 60%, Osnabrück 44%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Osnabrück has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.46. Erzgebirge Aue: 12.0 shots per match, Osnabrück: 13.0.
Match halves
Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.64. Osnabrück: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Erzgebirge Aue: 76-90+ (8 goals). Osnabrück: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Osnabrück is the decisive favorite of this meeting, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 58% wins away. The visitors present excellent form with 2.2 points per match in the last 5 meetings (3 wins, 2 draws) and a scoring efficiency at the level of 1.92 goals per away match. Erzgebirge Aue finds itself in a dramatic situation in 17th position, without a victory in the last 5 matches (0.4 points per match) and with only 31% wins at home. The hosts have a problem with finishing actions (10% shot conversion compared to 15% for the visitors) and have not scored a goal in 46% of home matches. The difference in goal difference (+8 for Osnabrück away compared to -1 for Aue at home) and the clear advantage in form and quality of the visiting team speak for their victory in this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Erzgebirge Aue | Osnabrück | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Osnabrück is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 2.2 pts / match - Osnabrück
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Osnabrück is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.52 goals / match - Osnabrück
Osnabrück is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 0.96 goals / match - Osnabrück
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Osnabrück keeps a clean sheet in 52% (13 of 25 matches).
Osnabrück scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
Over / Under - Osnabrück
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Osnabrück is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.44 pts / match - Osnabrück
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Osnabrück - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Erzgebirge Aue
Osnabrück
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Erzgebirge Aue | Liga | Osnabrück | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.72 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 64% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 22% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 0 - 1 Osnabrück. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück?
The 3. Liga match finished Erzgebirge Aue 1:3 Osnabrück. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück?
Erzgebirge Aue score 1.12 goals per game on average and Osnabrück 1.52. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Erzgebirge Aue's matches and 40% of Osnabrück's.
What form are Erzgebirge Aue and Osnabrück in?
Over the last 5 games Erzgebirge Aue have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Osnabrück 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.