ES Mostaganem vs JS Saoura: match statistics
ES Mostaganem vs JS Saoura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ES Mostaganem played JS Saoura in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 7 May 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
ES Mostaganem: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. JS Saoura: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
ES Mostaganem scores 0.58 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. JS Saoura scores 1.27 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ES Mostaganem 23%, JS Saoura 50%. Over 2.5: ES Mostaganem 35%, JS Saoura 42%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
JS Saoura has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.09. ES Mostaganem: 7.3 shots per match, JS Saoura: 9.5.
Match halves
ES Mostaganem: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.35. JS Saoura: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
ES Mostaganem: 16-30 (4 goals). JS Saoura: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite in this match is JS Saoura — the visitors sit 2nd in the table while ES Mostaganem are 15th. Recent form heavily favors Saoura (4 wins, 1 draw) versus Mostaganem (1 win, 4 losses); Saoura averages 2.6 points per game over the last five, Mostaganem only 0.6. Offensively the gap is clear: Saoura scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches and 33 in the season, Mostaganem just 3 in five and 15 for the season. Mostaganem’s defense is the main concern — the hosts conceded 18 goals in their last 5 matches (3.6 per game) and concede 1.46 goals per game at home, while Saoura conceded 2 in five and 1.00 on the road. Opportunity statistics show Mostaganem create slightly better chances at home (avg xG 1.29, 9.46 shots and 4.23 on target per game) than Saoura away (xG 1.06, 8.23 shots and 3.15 on target), but the hosts’ low conversion and overall low goal tally (15) indicate those chances do not translate into points. Considering form, goal-scoring advantage and Saoura’s defensive stability, I forecast an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators are mixed: the home side scores 1.77 goals per game on average, the away side 0.77; homes register BTTS in 54% of matches, visitors in 46%, with the league average at 47%. The last 5 matches strongly point toward both teams scoring: homes average 0.6 goals scored and concede 3.6, while visitors average 1.8 goals scored and concede 0.4. Seasonal xG suggests an offensive edge for the home team (1.65 xG for vs 0.96 xG against), whereas the away team has 1.06 xG for and 1.4 xG against; however the last 5 matches show the home xG against at 1.92, indicating defensive deterioration. Additionally, homes average 5.5 shots on target per match with a 16% conversion rate, versus 3.15 SoT and 9% for the away team, so the hosts have realistic goal potential and the visitors have been efficient recently. Considering the dominant last-5 form and balancing the home clean sheet rate of 46% and the league 61% contrary to that trend, I assign a higher probability to BTTS - Yes: 62% vs 38% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on seasonal xG values: Mostaganem xG_for 1.65 and JS Saoura 1.06, and xG against 0.96 (Mostaganem) and 1.40 (Saoura), I calculate roughly 1.53 goals for the home side and 1.01 for the away side, totalling ~2.54 goals. Season-long the 1.5 line is frequently exceeded — Mostaganem has 69% of matches over 1.5, JS Saoura 54% — which provides a strong signal for Over 1.5. In the last 5 matches Mostaganem conceded on average 3.6 goals (18 conceded), while JS Saoura scored on average 1.8 goals (9 scored), further increasing the probability of at least two goals. Over 2.5 shows mixed indicators (Mostaganem 62% vs Saoura 23%, league 37%), so despite the projected 2.54 goals, Over 2.5 is only moderately likely; therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
ES Mostaganem has a clear home advantage this season: they win 77% of home matches and average 2.38 points per home game compared to JS Saoura’s 1.23 points away. At Half-Time the hosts score on average 0.85 goals (versus 0.54 for the visitors) and lead at the break in 6 of 13 home games (46%), while conceding only 0.31 goals by Half-Time. xG and shot statistics also favor Mostaganem: xG 1.65 vs 1.06, xG against for the hosts 0.96 versus 1.40 for the visitors, 5.5 shots on target per game vs 3.15 and shot conversion 16% versus 9% for JS Saoura. The last 5 matches show the opposite trend (hosts 1 win from 5, 20% vs visitors 4 wins and 1 draw, 80%), which reduces certainty, but the season-long home statistical advantages are significant. On that basis the most likely scenario is a Mostaganem lead at Half-Time and a home victory after 90 minutes (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ES Mostaganem | JS Saoura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
JS Saoura is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - ES Mostaganem · 2.6 pts / match - JS Saoura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JS Saoura is 119% better for: goals scored per match.
0.58 goals / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.27 goals / match - JS Saoura
JS Saoura is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - ES Mostaganem · 0.96 goals / match - JS Saoura
ES Mostaganem scores in 35% of matches (9 of 26 matches), while JS Saoura keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
JS Saoura scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while ES Mostaganem keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ES Mostaganem
Over / Under - JS Saoura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
JS Saoura is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.58 pts / match - JS Saoura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ES Mostaganem - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
JS Saoura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ES Mostaganem
JS Saoura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| ES Mostaganem | Liga | JS Saoura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.19 | 2.19 | • 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 23% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 31% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ES Mostaganem 0 - 0 - 1 JS Saoura. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ES Mostaganem vs JS Saoura?
The Ligue 1 match finished ES Mostaganem 0:4 JS Saoura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ES Mostaganem vs JS Saoura?
ES Mostaganem score 0.58 goals per game on average and JS Saoura 1.27. The Ligue 1 average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 23% of ES Mostaganem's matches and 50% of JS Saoura's.
What form are ES Mostaganem and JS Saoura in?
Over the last 5 games ES Mostaganem have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and JS Saoura 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ES Mostaganem vs JS Saoura?
The statistical background for ES Mostaganem vs JS Saoura — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.