ES Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou: match statistics
ES Mostaganem displays very poor form, sitting in 15th place in the table with just 2 wins this season and a disastrous 1-0-4 record in the last 5 matches. The hosts have scored only 3 goals in their last five encounters, and their shooting efficiency stands at a mere 8%, making them one of the weakest attacks in the league. Oued Akbou, despite weaker away form (14% wins), ranks 6th and has a much better overall record (6 wins, 19 goals). The visitors demonstrate decidedly higher effectiveness (18% shot conversion) and average 1.43 goals away, whereas ES Mostaganem scores an average of only 0.86 goals at home. Given Oued Akbou's qualitative advantage, their superior goal difference, and the critical weakness of the hosts, I expect a victory for the visitors, though a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Oued Akbou's difficulties on the road.
ES Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ES Mostaganem played Oued Akbou in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
ES Mostaganem: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Oued Akbou: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
ES Mostaganem scores 0.53 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Oued Akbou scores 1.27 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ES Mostaganem 20%, Oued Akbou 67%. Over 2.5: ES Mostaganem 13%, Oued Akbou 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Oued Akbou has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.16. ES Mostaganem: 8.1 shots per match, Oued Akbou: 10.1.
Match halves
ES Mostaganem: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.27. Oued Akbou: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
ES Mostaganem: 16-30 (3 goals). Oued Akbou: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ES Mostaganem displays very poor form, sitting in 15th place in the table with just 2 wins this season and a disastrous 1-0-4 record in the last 5 matches. The hosts have scored only 3 goals in their last five encounters, and their shooting efficiency stands at a mere 8%, making them one of the weakest attacks in the league. Oued Akbou, despite weaker away form (14% wins), ranks 6th and has a much better overall record (6 wins, 19 goals). The visitors demonstrate decidedly higher effectiveness (18% shot conversion) and average 1.43 goals away, whereas ES Mostaganem scores an average of only 0.86 goals at home. Given Oued Akbou's qualitative advantage, their superior goal difference, and the critical weakness of the hosts, I expect a victory for the visitors, though a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Oued Akbou's difficulties on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ES Mostaganem | Oued Akbou | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oued Akbou is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.2 pts / match - Oued Akbou
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oued Akbou is 140% better for: goals scored per match.
0.53 goals / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.27 goals / match - Oued Akbou
ES Mostaganem is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.13 goals / match - Oued Akbou
ES Mostaganem scores in 33% of matches (5 of 15 matches), while Oued Akbou keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Oued Akbou scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while ES Mostaganem keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ES Mostaganem
Over / Under - Oued Akbou
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oued Akbou is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.4 pts / match - Oued Akbou
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ES Mostaganem - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Oued Akbou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ES Mostaganem
Oued Akbou
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| ES Mostaganem | Liga | Oued Akbou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.60 | 2.03 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 48% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 31% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ES Mostaganem 0 - 0 - 1 Oued Akbou. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ES Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou?
The Ligue 1 match finished ES Mostaganem 1:0 Oued Akbou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ES Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou?
ES Mostaganem score 0.53 goals per game on average and Oued Akbou 1.27. The Ligue 1 average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 20% of ES Mostaganem's matches and 67% of Oued Akbou's.
What form are ES Mostaganem and Oued Akbou in?
Over the last 5 games ES Mostaganem have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Oued Akbou 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ES Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.