ES Mostaganem vs Paradou AC: match statistics
ES Mostaganem sits 16th in the table in very poor form - claiming just 1 point in their last 5 matches with zero wins. The hosts struggle to score goals (2 goals in their last 5 fixtures), although they perform slightly better at home with a goal difference of -5. Paradou AC is in even worse away form - 5 consecutive defeats, 0 points in their last 5 matches, and a staggering 80% away loss rate for the season. The visitors concede an average of 2.1 goals per away game and have not kept a single clean sheet. Given the dismal disposition of both teams, the slight home advantage for the hosts, and the history of matchups between struggling sides, a draw seems the most probable outcome. Both teams have efficiency issues, which may result in a low-scoring draw.
ES Mostaganem vs Paradou AC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ES Mostaganem played Paradou AC in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
ES Mostaganem: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Paradou AC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ES Mostaganem scores 0.52 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Paradou AC scores 1.10 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ES Mostaganem 22%, Paradou AC 48%. Over 2.5: ES Mostaganem 26%, Paradou AC 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
ES Mostaganem has higher xG: 1.08 vs 1.04. ES Mostaganem: 7.3 shots per match, Paradou AC: 6.7.
Match halves
ES Mostaganem: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.35. Paradou AC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
ES Mostaganem: 46-60 (4 goals). Paradou AC: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ES Mostaganem sits 16th in the table in very poor form - claiming just 1 point in their last 5 matches with zero wins. The hosts struggle to score goals (2 goals in their last 5 fixtures), although they perform slightly better at home with a goal difference of -5. Paradou AC is in even worse away form - 5 consecutive defeats, 0 points in their last 5 matches, and a staggering 80% away loss rate for the season. The visitors concede an average of 2.1 goals per away game and have not kept a single clean sheet. Given the dismal disposition of both teams, the slight home advantage for the hosts, and the history of matchups between struggling sides, a draw seems the most probable outcome. Both teams have efficiency issues, which may result in a low-scoring draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ES Mostaganem | Paradou AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paradou AC is 112% better for: goals scored per match.
0.52 goals / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.1 goals / match - Paradou AC
ES Mostaganem is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.67 goals / match - Paradou AC
ES Mostaganem scores in 35% of matches (8 of 23 matches), while Paradou AC keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Paradou AC scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while ES Mostaganem keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ES Mostaganem
Over / Under - Paradou AC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paradou AC is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.1 pts / match - Paradou AC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ES Mostaganem - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paradou AC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ES Mostaganem
Paradou AC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| ES Mostaganem | Liga | Paradou AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 34% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 32% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Paradou ACGoalBen Ahmed Kohili
- Paradou ACSubstitutionOn: Djafar ZabaiouOff: Ben Ahmed Kohili
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ES Mostaganem 0 - 0 - 1 Paradou AC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ES Mostaganem vs Paradou AC?
The Ligue 1 match finished ES Mostaganem 3:2 Paradou AC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ES Mostaganem vs Paradou AC?
ES Mostaganem score 0.52 goals per game on average and Paradou AC 1.10. The Ligue 1 average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 22% of ES Mostaganem's matches and 48% of Paradou AC's.
What form are ES Mostaganem and Paradou AC in?
Over the last 5 games ES Mostaganem have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Paradou AC 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ES Mostaganem vs Paradou AC?
The statistical background for ES Mostaganem vs Paradou AC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.