ES Sétif vs ES Mostaganem: match statistics
ES Sétif clearly dominates this clash, especially considering their solid home form. The hosts win 40% of their home matches and hold a positive goal difference (+4) in home games, while ES Mostaganem has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate). The guests have lost a staggering 90% of their away matches and fail to score in 80% of such encounters, which is alarming given an average of just 0.3 goals per away match. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.38 vs 0.83), and their advantage in possession (55% vs 44%) and shot efficiency confirms superior quality of play. ES Mostaganem's form in the last five away matches consists of a streak of ten consecutive losses and draws, making them a very weak opponent on the road. Taking all these factors into account, a victory for the hosts is the most likely result.
ES Sétif vs ES Mostaganem: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ES Sétif played ES Mostaganem in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
ES Sétif: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. ES Mostaganem: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ES Sétif scores 0.95 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. ES Mostaganem scores 0.60 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ES Sétif 55%, ES Mostaganem 25%. Over 2.5: ES Sétif 35%, ES Mostaganem 20%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
ES Sétif has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.10. ES Sétif: 9.3 shots per match, ES Mostaganem: 7.4.
Match halves
ES Sétif: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.60. ES Mostaganem: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
ES Sétif: 46-60 (5 goals). ES Mostaganem: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ES Sétif clearly dominates this clash, especially considering their solid home form. The hosts win 40% of their home matches and hold a positive goal difference (+4) in home games, while ES Mostaganem has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate). The guests have lost a staggering 90% of their away matches and fail to score in 80% of such encounters, which is alarming given an average of just 0.3 goals per away match. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.38 vs 0.83), and their advantage in possession (55% vs 44%) and shot efficiency confirms superior quality of play. ES Mostaganem's form in the last five away matches consists of a streak of ten consecutive losses and draws, making them a very weak opponent on the road. Taking all these factors into account, a victory for the hosts is the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ES Sétif | ES Mostaganem | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ES Sétif is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - ES Sétif · 1 pts / match - ES Mostaganem
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ES Sétif is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - ES Sétif · 0.6 goals / match - ES Mostaganem
ES Mostaganem is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - ES Sétif · 1.05 goals / match - ES Mostaganem
ES Sétif scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while ES Mostaganem keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
ES Mostaganem scores in 40% of matches (8 of 20 matches), while ES Sétif keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ES Sétif
Over / Under - ES Mostaganem
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ES Sétif is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - ES Sétif · 0.9 pts / match - ES Mostaganem
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ES Sétif - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
ES Mostaganem - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ES Sétif
ES Mostaganem
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| ES Sétif | Liga | ES Mostaganem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.20 | 2.07 | ▼ 1.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 47% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 33% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ES Sétif 0 - 0 - 1 ES Mostaganem. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ES Sétif vs ES Mostaganem?
The Ligue 1 match finished ES Sétif 3:0 ES Mostaganem. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ES Sétif vs ES Mostaganem?
ES Sétif score 0.95 goals per game on average and ES Mostaganem 0.60. The Ligue 1 average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 55% of ES Sétif's matches and 25% of ES Mostaganem's.
What form are ES Sétif and ES Mostaganem in?
Over the last 5 games ES Sétif have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and ES Mostaganem 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ES Sétif vs ES Mostaganem?
The statistical background for ES Sétif vs ES Mostaganem — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.