ES Sétif vs USM Khenchela: match statistics
ES Sétif sits in 13th place and displays poor home form with only 29% of matches won and a goal difference of 0 in home fixtures. The host team has a high 57% draw rate in home matches, indicating a tendency to split points. USM Khenchela ranks higher in the table (9th place) and shows better recent form (1.4 points per game in the last 5 matches vs 0.8 for the hosts), but performs significantly worse away with 43% losses and a negative goal difference of -3. Considering the weak offensive output of both teams (ES Sétif 1.29 goals/match at home, USM Khenchela 0.86 goals/match away) and the hosts' high tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most probable outcome. xG statistics show a balanced quality of chances created, which further argues for a draw in this encounter.
ES Sétif vs USM Khenchela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ES Sétif played USM Khenchela in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
ES Sétif: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. USM Khenchela: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ES Sétif scores 0.87 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. USM Khenchela scores 1.00 and concedes 0.87. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ES Sétif 60%, USM Khenchela 47%. Over 2.5: ES Sétif 33%, USM Khenchela 20%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
USM Khenchela has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.23. ES Sétif: 9.1 shots per match, USM Khenchela: 10.1.
Match halves
ES Sétif: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.67. USM Khenchela: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
ES Sétif: 46-60 (5 goals). USM Khenchela: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ES Sétif sits in 13th place and displays poor home form with only 29% of matches won and a goal difference of 0 in home fixtures. The host team has a high 57% draw rate in home matches, indicating a tendency to split points. USM Khenchela ranks higher in the table (9th place) and shows better recent form (1.4 points per game in the last 5 matches vs 0.8 for the hosts), but performs significantly worse away with 43% losses and a negative goal difference of -3. Considering the weak offensive output of both teams (ES Sétif 1.29 goals/match at home, USM Khenchela 0.86 goals/match away) and the hosts' high tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most probable outcome. xG statistics show a balanced quality of chances created, which further argues for a draw in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ES Sétif | USM Khenchela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
USM Khenchela is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - ES Sétif · 2 pts / match - USM Khenchela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
USM Khenchela is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - ES Sétif · 1 goals / match - USM Khenchela
USM Khenchela is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - ES Sétif · 0.87 goals / match - USM Khenchela
ES Sétif scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while USM Khenchela keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
USM Khenchela scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while ES Sétif keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ES Sétif
Over / Under - USM Khenchela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USM Khenchela is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - ES Sétif · 1.67 pts / match - USM Khenchela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ES Sétif - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
USM Khenchela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ES Sétif
USM Khenchela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| ES Sétif | Liga | USM Khenchela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.20 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ES Sétif 0 - 1 - 0 USM Khenchela. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ES Sétif vs USM Khenchela?
The Ligue 1 match finished ES Sétif 4:1 USM Khenchela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ES Sétif vs USM Khenchela?
ES Sétif score 0.87 goals per game on average and USM Khenchela 1.00. The Ligue 1 average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 60% of ES Sétif's matches and 47% of USM Khenchela's.
What form are ES Sétif and USM Khenchela in?
Over the last 5 games ES Sétif have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and USM Khenchela 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ES Sétif vs USM Khenchela?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ES Sétif vs USM Khenchela: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.