ES Tunis vs Kairouan: match statistics
ES Tunis is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting top of the table with an impressive 89% home win rate. The hosts boast a phenomenal defense at their own stadium, conceding an average of just 0.22 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 78% of matches. Kairouan displays very poor away form with 63% losses and only 13% wins, averaging a mere 0.38 goals per game on the road. The gap in offensive quality is immense—ES Tunis scores an average of 2.22 goals at home, while Kairouan has failed to score in 88% of their away fixtures. xG statistics also clearly favor the hosts (2.51 vs 1.26), and the goal difference in the seasonal record (+18 for ES Tunis vs -6 for Kairouan) further confirms the league leader's advantage.
ES Tunis vs Kairouan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ES Tunis played Kairouan in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
ES Tunis: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kairouan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
ES Tunis scores 1.76 and concedes 0.35 goals per match. Kairouan scores 0.59 and concedes 1.65. League average: 1.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ES Tunis 24%, Kairouan 29%. Over 2.5: ES Tunis 41%, Kairouan 41%. League level: BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
ES Tunis has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.09. ES Tunis: 14.5 shots per match, Kairouan: 8.0.
Match halves
ES Tunis: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 0.82. Kairouan: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
ES Tunis: 31-45+ (7 goals). Kairouan: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.82 goals per match, BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ES Tunis is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting top of the table with an impressive 89% home win rate. The hosts boast a phenomenal defense at their own stadium, conceding an average of just 0.22 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 78% of matches. Kairouan displays very poor away form with 63% losses and only 13% wins, averaging a mere 0.38 goals per game on the road. The gap in offensive quality is immense—ES Tunis scores an average of 2.22 goals at home, while Kairouan has failed to score in 88% of their away fixtures. xG statistics also clearly favor the hosts (2.51 vs 1.26), and the goal difference in the seasonal record (+18 for ES Tunis vs -6 for Kairouan) further confirms the league leader's advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ES Tunis | Kairouan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ES Tunis is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - ES Tunis · 0.8 pts / match - Kairouan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ES Tunis is 198% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - ES Tunis · 0.59 goals / match - Kairouan
ES Tunis is 371% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.35 goals / match - ES Tunis · 1.65 goals / match - Kairouan
ES Tunis scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Kairouan keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Kairouan scores in 35% of matches (6 of 17 matches), while ES Tunis keeps a clean sheet in 71% (12 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ES Tunis
Over / Under - Kairouan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ES Tunis is 323% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.24 pts / match - ES Tunis · 0.53 pts / match - Kairouan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ES Tunis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kairouan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ES Tunis
Kairouan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| ES Tunis | Liga | Kairouan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.12 | 1.82 | ▲ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 29% | • 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 30% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 44% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 60% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ES Tunis 1 - 0 - 0 Kairouan. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ES Tunis vs Kairouan?
The Ligue 1 match finished ES Tunis 1:0 Kairouan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ES Tunis vs Kairouan?
ES Tunis score 1.76 goals per game on average and Kairouan 0.59. The Ligue 1 average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 24% of ES Tunis's matches and 29% of Kairouan's.
What form are ES Tunis and Kairouan in?
Over the last 5 games ES Tunis have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kairouan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ES Tunis vs Kairouan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.