ES Tunis vs Marsa: match statistics
ES Tunis presents dominant form as the league leader with an impressive record of 15 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses this season. The hosts are unbeaten in the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw) and have a phenomenal home record with a 91% win rate and 82% clean sheets. Marsa occupies a distant 10th place with very poor away form (70% losses on the road, 50% of matches without scoring), and in the last 5 away meetings, they recorded as many as 4 losses. The huge difference in quality, possession (68% vs 46%), and expected goals (xG 2.45 vs 1.3) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts. A goal difference of +20 for ES Tunis in home matches compared to just +2 for Marsa away further confirms the favorite's advantage.
ES Tunis vs Marsa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ES Tunis played Marsa in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
ES Tunis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Marsa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
ES Tunis scores 1.77 and concedes 0.32 goals per match. Marsa scores 0.91 and concedes 1.09. League average: 1.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ES Tunis 23%, Marsa 18%. Over 2.5: ES Tunis 41%, Marsa 32%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
ES Tunis has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.49. ES Tunis: 14.2 shots per match, Marsa: 11.1.
Match halves
ES Tunis: half-time lead 68%, second-half goals 0.77. Marsa: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
ES Tunis: 16-30 (10 goals). Marsa: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.77 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ES Tunis presents dominant form as the league leader with an impressive record of 15 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses this season. The hosts are unbeaten in the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw) and have a phenomenal home record with a 91% win rate and 82% clean sheets. Marsa occupies a distant 10th place with very poor away form (70% losses on the road, 50% of matches without scoring), and in the last 5 away meetings, they recorded as many as 4 losses. The huge difference in quality, possession (68% vs 46%), and expected goals (xG 2.45 vs 1.3) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts. A goal difference of +20 for ES Tunis in home matches compared to just +2 for Marsa away further confirms the favorite's advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ES Tunis | Marsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ES Tunis is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - ES Tunis · 1.2 pts / match - Marsa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ES Tunis is 95% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - ES Tunis · 0.91 goals / match - Marsa
ES Tunis is 241% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.32 goals / match - ES Tunis · 1.09 goals / match - Marsa
ES Tunis scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Marsa scores in 50% of matches (11 of 22 matches), while ES Tunis keeps a clean sheet in 73% (16 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ES Tunis
Over / Under - Marsa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ES Tunis is 170% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.32 pts / match - ES Tunis · 0.86 pts / match - Marsa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ES Tunis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 68% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ES Tunis
Marsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| ES Tunis | Liga | Marsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.09 | 1.77 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 73% | 46% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ES Tunis 1 - 0 - 0 Marsa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ES Tunis vs Marsa?
The Ligue 1 match finished ES Tunis 1:0 Marsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ES Tunis vs Marsa?
ES Tunis score 1.77 goals per game on average and Marsa 0.91. The Ligue 1 average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 23% of ES Tunis's matches and 18% of Marsa's.
What form are ES Tunis and Marsa in?
Over the last 5 games ES Tunis have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Marsa 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ES Tunis vs Marsa?
The statistical background for ES Tunis vs Marsa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.