Esbjerg vs Hillerød: match statistics
Esbjerg presents a solid disposition in home matches, winning 60% of their home fixtures and dropping only 20% of points. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.67 vs 1.35), which demonstrates their superior efficiency in creating scoring opportunities. Hillerød has picked up just 1 PPG in their last five matches, and in away games, they concede an average of 1.7 goals, a significant weakness against Esbjerg's offensive potential (1.7 goals per game on average at home). The form of both teams favors the hosts, who have won their last two matches, while the visitors record inconsistent results. Considering all factors, Esbjerg has a clear advantage, although Hillerød is capable of picking up points on the road (40% win rate), which justifies a moderate probability for a draw.
Esbjerg vs Hillerød: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Esbjerg played Hillerød in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Esbjerg: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Hillerød: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Esbjerg scores 1.45 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Hillerød scores 1.50 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Esbjerg 50%, Hillerød 75%. Over 2.5: Esbjerg 45%, Hillerød 65%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Esbjerg has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. Esbjerg: 13.2 shots per match, Hillerød: 11.8.
Match halves
Esbjerg: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Hillerød: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Esbjerg: 61-75 (9 goals). Hillerød: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Esbjerg presents a solid disposition in home matches, winning 60% of their home fixtures and dropping only 20% of points. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.67 vs 1.35), which demonstrates their superior efficiency in creating scoring opportunities. Hillerød has picked up just 1 PPG in their last five matches, and in away games, they concede an average of 1.7 goals, a significant weakness against Esbjerg's offensive potential (1.7 goals per game on average at home). The form of both teams favors the hosts, who have won their last two matches, while the visitors record inconsistent results. Considering all factors, Esbjerg has a clear advantage, although Hillerød is capable of picking up points on the road (40% win rate), which justifies a moderate probability for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Esbjerg | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esbjerg is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Esbjerg · 1 pts / match - Hillerød
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esbjerg scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Hillerød scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esbjerg
Over / Under - Hillerød
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hillerød is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Esbjerg · 1.5 pts / match - Hillerød
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Esbjerg
Hillerød
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Esbjerg | Liga | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.76 | • 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 56% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Esbjerg 0 - 0 - 1 Hillerød. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Esbjerg vs Hillerød?
The 1st Division match finished Esbjerg 2:2 Hillerød. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Esbjerg vs Hillerød?
Esbjerg score 1.45 goals per game on average and Hillerød 1.50. The 1st Division average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Esbjerg's matches and 75% of Hillerød's.
What form are Esbjerg and Hillerød in?
Over the last 5 games Esbjerg have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Hillerød 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esbjerg vs Hillerød?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Esbjerg vs Hillerød: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.