Denmark - 1st DivisionBlue Water ArenaData current as of 13 August 2026

Esbjerg vs Hobro: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Esbjerg vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Esbjerg play Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: Blue Water Arena.

Current form

Esbjerg: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Hobro: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Esbjerg scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Hobro scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Esbjerg 100%, Hobro 67%. Over 2.5: Esbjerg 67%, Hobro 67%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Esbjerg has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.28. Esbjerg: 13.7 shots per match, Hobro: 10.3.

Match halves

Esbjerg: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Hobro: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Esbjerg: 0-15 (1 goals). Hobro: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.12)
(3.50)
(3.12)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.67Goals scored / match1.33
EsbjergHobro
1.67Goals conceded / match1
EsbjergHobro
45%Average possession49%
EsbjergHobro
6Shots on target / match3.67
EsbjergHobro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.67Shots per match10.33
EsbjergHobro
6Shots on target3.67
EsbjergHobro
12.2%Shot conversion12.9%
EsbjergHobro
45%Possession49%
EsbjergHobro
1.64xG for1.28
EsbjergHobro
2.09xG against1.47
EsbjergHobro

Shooting quality

Esbjerg: Counter-attackingHobro: Balanced
EsbjergHobro
Accuracy (shots on target)44%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hobro is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / match - Esbjerg · 2 pts / match - Hobro

Esbjerg
DWL
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 2.09BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
Hobro
LWW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Esbjerg is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Esbjerg · 1.33 goals / match - Hobro

Hobro is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Esbjerg · 1 goals / match - Hobro

Esbjerg scoring profile: very strong

Esbjerg scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Hobro scoring profile: very strong

Hobro scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

5Goals scored (season)4
EsbjergHobro
5Goals conceded (season)3
EsbjergHobro
3.33Average goals in match2.33
EsbjergHobro
5Goals scored (last 5)4
EsbjergHobro
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
EsbjergHobro

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
EsbjergHobro
33%2 goals33%
EsbjergHobro
33%3 goals0%
EsbjergHobro
0%4 goals0%
EsbjergHobro

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
EsbjergHobro
67%2 goals33%
EsbjergHobro
0%3 goals0%
EsbjergHobro
0%4 goals0%
EsbjergHobro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time67%
EsbjergHobro
0%BTTS in both halves0%
EsbjergHobro
33%Scored in both halves0%
EsbjergHobro

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
EsbjergHobro
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
EsbjergHobro
100%BTTS - last 567%
EsbjergHobro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
EsbjergHobro
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
EsbjergHobro
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time67%
EsbjergHobro

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
EsbjergHobro
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
EsbjergHobro
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
EsbjergHobro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Esbjerg is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Esbjerg · 1.33 pts / match - Hobro

Esbjerg - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Hobro - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.33
EsbjergHobro
1Goals scored (1st half)1
EsbjergHobro
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)1
EsbjergHobro
1.33Average goals (1st half)2
EsbjergHobro
67%Clean sheet before half-time33%
EsbjergHobro
33%No goal before half-time33%
EsbjergHobro

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)1.67
EsbjergHobro
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
EsbjergHobro
1.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0
EsbjergHobro
2Average goals (2nd half)0.33
EsbjergHobro
33%Clean sheet after half-time100%
EsbjergHobro
33%No goal after half-time67%
EsbjergHobro

Esbjerg - second-half results

0% W33% R67% P
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hobro - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Esbjerg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.670.33
Goals scored / match1.00.7
Goals conceded / match0.31.3
Average goals in match1.32.0
1 goal67%67%
2 goals67%67%
3 goals0%67%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 3
Hobro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.331.67
Goals scored / match1.00.3
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match2.00.3
1 goal67%33%
2 goals67%0%
3 goals67%0%
Clean sheet33%100%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Esbjerg
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hobro
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Esbjerg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Hobro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

EsbjergLigaHobro
Average goals in match 3.333.00 2.33
Both teams scored 100%72% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%56% 67%
Clean sheets 0%14% 33%
Goal before half-time 67%78% 67%
Goal after half-time 67%78% 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
72%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
14%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Esbjerg 0 - 1 - 1 Hobro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Esbjerg fB
1 : 1
Hobro IK
Hobro IK
2 : 0
Esbjerg fB

FAQ

When do Esbjerg and Hobro play?

Esbjerg face Hobro on 15 August 2026 in 1st Division at Blue Water Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Esbjerg and Hobro?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 0, Hobro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Esbjerg vs Hobro?

Esbjerg score 1.67 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.33. The 1st Division average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Esbjerg's matches and 67% of Hobro's.

What form are Esbjerg and Hobro in?

Over the last 5 games Esbjerg have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Hobro 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esbjerg vs Hobro?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Esbjerg vs Hobro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.