Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak: match statistics
Esteghlal Khuzestan holds a clear advantage as the home side, with a balanced record of 33% wins, draws, and losses at home, and a positive goal difference of +1 in home matches. Aluminium Arak displays very poor away form with 56% losses, a negative goal difference of -6 on the road, and only 22% wins. The visitors' last five matches have yielded a catastrophic outcome – four defeats, one draw, and an average of just 0.2 points per match. The hosts have better xG statistics (0.92 vs 0.88) and a lower average of goals conceded at home (0.67 vs the visitors' 1.33 away). Considering the home advantage, better form, and the visitors' significantly weaker disposition in away matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan has a realistic chance of victory, although their own unstable form could also lead to a draw.
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Esteghlal Khuzestan played Aluminium Arak in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Esteghlal Khuzestan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Aluminium Arak: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Esteghlal Khuzestan scores 0.67 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Aluminium Arak scores 0.61 and concedes 1.06. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Esteghlal Khuzestan 33%, Aluminium Arak 28%. Over 2.5: Esteghlal Khuzestan 22%, Aluminium Arak 22%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Aluminium Arak has higher xG: 0.91 vs 0.86. Esteghlal Khuzestan: 3.3 shots per match, Aluminium Arak: 2.6.
Match halves
Esteghlal Khuzestan: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.33. Aluminium Arak: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Esteghlal Khuzestan: 16-30 (3 goals). Aluminium Arak: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Esteghlal Khuzestan holds a clear advantage as the home side, with a balanced record of 33% wins, draws, and losses at home, and a positive goal difference of +1 in home matches. Aluminium Arak displays very poor away form with 56% losses, a negative goal difference of -6 on the road, and only 22% wins. The visitors' last five matches have yielded a catastrophic outcome – four defeats, one draw, and an average of just 0.2 points per match. The hosts have better xG statistics (0.92 vs 0.88) and a lower average of goals conceded at home (0.67 vs the visitors' 1.33 away). Considering the home advantage, better form, and the visitors' significantly weaker disposition in away matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan has a realistic chance of victory, although their own unstable form could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Esteghlal Khuzestan | Aluminium Arak | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 0.2 pts / match - Aluminium Arak
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 0.61 goals / match - Aluminium Arak
Esteghlal Khuzestan scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Aluminium Arak keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Aluminium Arak scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Esteghlal Khuzestan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Over / Under - Aluminium Arak
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esteghlal Khuzestan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aluminium Arak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Aluminium Arak
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Esteghlal Khuzestan | Liga | Aluminium Arak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.72 | 1.72 | • 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 51% | • 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | • 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Esteghlal Khuzestan 0 - 0 - 1 Aluminium Arak. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Esteghlal Khuzestan 1:1 Aluminium Arak. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?
Esteghlal Khuzestan score 0.67 goals per game on average and Aluminium Arak 0.61. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Esteghlal Khuzestan's matches and 28% of Aluminium Arak's.
What form are Esteghlal Khuzestan and Aluminium Arak in?
Over the last 5 games Esteghlal Khuzestan have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Aluminium Arak 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.