Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even match with the draw scenario being favored. Esteghlal Khuzestan presents poor form in their last five matches (1 point per match), yet holds a 38% win record at home and concedes just 0.75 goals on average per game. Paykan performs even worse on the road with 50% losses and only 25% wins, although their form has slightly improved recently (1.4 points per match). Both teams score an average of 0.88 goals per match in their respective conditions, and xG indicators are very close (0.92 vs 1.21), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Given the high percentage of draws for both teams this season and their difficulties in scoring goals, the most probable result is a split of points.
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Esteghlal Khuzestan played Paykan in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Esteghlal Khuzestan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Paykan: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Esteghlal Khuzestan scores 0.75 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Paykan scores 0.81 and concedes 0.94. League average: 1.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Esteghlal Khuzestan 38%, Paykan 38%. Over 2.5: Esteghlal Khuzestan 25%, Paykan 25%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Paykan has higher xG: 1.14 vs 0.86. Esteghlal Khuzestan: 3.9 shots per match, Paykan: 5.7.
Match halves
Esteghlal Khuzestan: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.38. Paykan: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Esteghlal Khuzestan: 16-30 (3 goals). Paykan: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.77 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an even match with the draw scenario being favored. Esteghlal Khuzestan presents poor form in their last five matches (1 point per match), yet holds a 38% win record at home and concedes just 0.75 goals on average per game. Paykan performs even worse on the road with 50% losses and only 25% wins, although their form has slightly improved recently (1.4 points per match). Both teams score an average of 0.88 goals per match in their respective conditions, and xG indicators are very close (0.92 vs 1.21), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Given the high percentage of draws for both teams this season and their difficulties in scoring goals, the most probable result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Esteghlal Khuzestan | Paykan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paykan is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 1.4 pts / match - Paykan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paykan is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 0.81 goals / match - Paykan
Paykan is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 0.94 goals / match - Paykan
Esteghlal Khuzestan scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Paykan keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Paykan scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Esteghlal Khuzestan keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Over / Under - Paykan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paykan is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan · 1.5 pts / match - Paykan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esteghlal Khuzestan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paykan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Paykan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Esteghlal Khuzestan | Liga | Paykan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.88 | 1.77 | • 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 39% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 42% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Esteghlal Khuzestan 0 - 1 - 0 Paykan. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Esteghlal Khuzestan 0:0 Paykan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan?
Esteghlal Khuzestan score 0.75 goals per game on average and Paykan 0.81. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Esteghlal Khuzestan's matches and 38% of Paykan's.
What form are Esteghlal Khuzestan and Paykan in?
Over the last 5 games Esteghlal Khuzestan have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paykan 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.