Esteghlal vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: match statistics
Esteghlal displays significantly better home form with a 38% win rate and an impressive 38% clean sheets on their own turf. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +3 in home matches, while Esteghlal Khuzestan records an alarming -7 balance on the road. The visitors lose 50% of their away fixtures and score an average of just 0.63 goals per game; combined with failing to score in 50% of matches, this indicates serious offensive issues. Esteghlal boasts a higher shot conversion rate (21% vs 9%) and superior xG stats (1.15 vs 0.77), confirming their qualitative advantage. Given the hosts' solid defense (averaging 1 goal conceded at home) and the visitors' offensive frailties, I expect a victory for Esteghlal, though their tendency to draw (50% at home) means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
Esteghlal vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Esteghlal played Esteghlal Khuzestan in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Esteghlal: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Esteghlal Khuzestan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Esteghlal scores 1.18 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Esteghlal Khuzestan scores 0.71 and concedes 1.06. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Esteghlal 47%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 35%. Over 2.5: Esteghlal 29%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 24%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Esteghlal has higher xG: 1.30 vs 0.86. Esteghlal: 3.6 shots per match, Esteghlal Khuzestan: 3.6.
Match halves
Esteghlal: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53. Esteghlal Khuzestan: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Esteghlal: 31-45+ (6 goals). Esteghlal Khuzestan: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Esteghlal displays significantly better home form with a 38% win rate and an impressive 38% clean sheets on their own turf. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +3 in home matches, while Esteghlal Khuzestan records an alarming -7 balance on the road. The visitors lose 50% of their away fixtures and score an average of just 0.63 goals per game; combined with failing to score in 50% of matches, this indicates serious offensive issues. Esteghlal boasts a higher shot conversion rate (21% vs 9%) and superior xG stats (1.15 vs 0.77), confirming their qualitative advantage. Given the hosts' solid defense (averaging 1 goal conceded at home) and the visitors' offensive frailties, I expect a victory for Esteghlal, though their tendency to draw (50% at home) means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Esteghlal | Esteghlal Khuzestan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.44 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esteghlal is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Esteghlal · 1 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Esteghlal · 0.71 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Esteghlal is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Esteghlal · 1.06 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Esteghlal scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Esteghlal Khuzestan keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
Esteghlal Khuzestan scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Esteghlal keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esteghlal
Over / Under - Esteghlal Khuzestan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Esteghlal · 1.12 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esteghlal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Esteghlal Khuzestan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Esteghlal
Esteghlal Khuzestan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Esteghlal | Liga | Esteghlal Khuzestan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.94 | 1.72 | • 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 37% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 41% | 43% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 51% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Esteghlal 0 - 0 - 1 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Esteghlal vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Esteghlal 1:0 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Esteghlal vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Esteghlal score 1.18 goals per game on average and Esteghlal Khuzestan 0.71. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Esteghlal's matches and 35% of Esteghlal Khuzestan's.
What form are Esteghlal and Esteghlal Khuzestan in?
Over the last 5 games Esteghlal have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esteghlal vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Esteghlal vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.