Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin: match statistics
As hosts, Esteghlal presents solid form with 44% wins and only 11% losses at home, averaging 1.33 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 44% of games. Shams Azar Qazvin has very poor offensive efficiency on the road – averaging just 0.33 goals per match with a failure-to-score rate of 67%, making them one of the least dangerous away sides. Although the visitors boast an impressive 78% clean sheet record in away games and haven't conceded in their last 5 matches, their defensive approach and low shot conversion (9%) suggest they will play for a draw. Esteghlal, with an xG advantage (1.15 vs 0.81) and better scoring form, should break down the visitors' defense, though Shams Azar's solid backline makes a draw a realistic scenario. Considering all factors, the hosts have the best chance of winning, but it will not be an easy encounter.
Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Esteghlal played Shams Azar Qazvin in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 5 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Esteghlal: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Shams Azar Qazvin: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Esteghlal scores 1.11 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Shams Azar Qazvin scores 0.68 and concedes 0.68. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Esteghlal 42%, Shams Azar Qazvin 32%. Over 2.5: Esteghlal 26%, Shams Azar Qazvin 11%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Esteghlal has higher xG: 1.30 vs 0.94. Esteghlal: 3.1 shots per match, Shams Azar Qazvin: 3.7.
Match halves
Esteghlal: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53. Shams Azar Qazvin: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Esteghlal: 31-45+ (6 goals). Shams Azar Qazvin: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As hosts, Esteghlal presents solid form with 44% wins and only 11% losses at home, averaging 1.33 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 44% of games. Shams Azar Qazvin has very poor offensive efficiency on the road – averaging just 0.33 goals per match with a failure-to-score rate of 67%, making them one of the least dangerous away sides. Although the visitors boast an impressive 78% clean sheet record in away games and haven't conceded in their last 5 matches, their defensive approach and low shot conversion (9%) suggest they will play for a draw. Esteghlal, with an xG advantage (1.15 vs 0.81) and better scoring form, should break down the visitors' defense, though Shams Azar's solid backline makes a draw a realistic scenario. Considering all factors, the hosts have the best chance of winning, but it will not be an easy encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Esteghlal | Shams Azar Qazvin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.76 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shams Azar Qazvin is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Esteghlal · 1.8 pts / match - Shams Azar Qazvin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Esteghlal · 0.68 goals / match - Shams Azar Qazvin
Shams Azar Qazvin is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Esteghlal · 0.68 goals / match - Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Shams Azar Qazvin keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).
Shams Azar Qazvin scores in 47% of matches (9 of 19 matches), while Esteghlal keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esteghlal
Over / Under - Shams Azar Qazvin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Esteghlal · 0.84 pts / match - Shams Azar Qazvin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esteghlal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shams Azar Qazvin - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Esteghlal
Shams Azar Qazvin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Esteghlal | Liga | Shams Azar Qazvin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.84 | 1.73 | ▼ 1.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 26% | 26% | ▼ 11% |
| Clean sheets | • 42% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Esteghlal 0 - 1 - 0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Esteghlal 3:2 Shams Azar Qazvin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Esteghlal score 1.11 goals per game on average and Shams Azar Qazvin 0.68. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Esteghlal's matches and 32% of Shams Azar Qazvin's.
What form are Esteghlal and Shams Azar Qazvin in?
Over the last 5 games Esteghlal have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Shams Azar Qazvin 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The statistical background for Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.