Esteghlal vs Tractor Sazi: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested matchup between Esteghlal and Tractor Sazi, favoring a draw. The hosts hold a solid home record with a 43% win rate; however, their recent form (1.6 PPG) trails that of the visitors (1.8 PPG). Tractor Sazi boasts an impressive away defensive record with 71% clean sheets and just 0.43 goals conceded per game, making them a formidable opponent. Esteghlal averages 1.57 goals in home matches but will encounter a well-organized visiting defense. Tractor Sazi's edge in possession (52% vs 49%) and superior xG (1.54 vs 1.15) suggest a qualitative advantage, yet their high away draw rate (57%) and the fact that 57% of matches end without them scoring point towards a cautious style of play. Given the adjacent league standings (5th vs 4th place) and identical records (5-8-2), a split of points is the most probable outcome.
Esteghlal vs Tractor Sazi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Esteghlal played Tractor Sazi in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Esteghlal: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Tractor Sazi: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Esteghlal scores 1.33 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Tractor Sazi scores 1.20 and concedes 0.53. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Esteghlal 53%, Tractor Sazi 40%. Over 2.5: Esteghlal 33%, Tractor Sazi 40%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 25%.
xG, shots and style
Tractor Sazi has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.30. Esteghlal: 4.2 shots per match, Tractor Sazi: 3.9.
Match halves
Esteghlal: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.60. Tractor Sazi: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Esteghlal: 31-45+ (6 goals). Tractor Sazi: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 25%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested matchup between Esteghlal and Tractor Sazi, favoring a draw. The hosts hold a solid home record with a 43% win rate; however, their recent form (1.6 PPG) trails that of the visitors (1.8 PPG). Tractor Sazi boasts an impressive away defensive record with 71% clean sheets and just 0.43 goals conceded per game, making them a formidable opponent. Esteghlal averages 1.57 goals in home matches but will encounter a well-organized visiting defense. Tractor Sazi's edge in possession (52% vs 49%) and superior xG (1.54 vs 1.15) suggest a qualitative advantage, yet their high away draw rate (57%) and the fact that 57% of matches end without them scoring point towards a cautious style of play. Given the adjacent league standings (5th vs 4th place) and identical records (5-8-2), a split of points is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Esteghlal | Tractor Sazi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.24 | 0.72 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tractor Sazi is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Esteghlal · 1.4 pts / match - Tractor Sazi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Esteghlal · 1.2 goals / match - Tractor Sazi
Tractor Sazi is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Esteghlal · 0.53 goals / match - Tractor Sazi
Esteghlal scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Tractor Sazi keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
Tractor Sazi scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while Esteghlal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esteghlal
Over / Under - Tractor Sazi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Esteghlal · 1.4 pts / match - Tractor Sazi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esteghlal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tractor Sazi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Esteghlal
Tractor Sazi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Esteghlal | Liga | Tractor Sazi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.20 | 1.71 | • 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 37% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 54% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Esteghlal 1 - 0 - 0 Tractor Sazi. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Esteghlal vs Tractor Sazi?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Esteghlal 0:0 Tractor Sazi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Esteghlal vs Tractor Sazi?
Esteghlal score 1.33 goals per game on average and Tractor Sazi 1.20. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Esteghlal's matches and 40% of Tractor Sazi's.
What form are Esteghlal and Tractor Sazi in?
Over the last 5 games Esteghlal have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Tractor Sazi 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esteghlal vs Tractor Sazi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.