Portugal - Liga NOSEstádio José GomesData current as of 20 October 2026

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Estrela Amadora play Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estádio José Gomes.

Current form

Estrela Amadora: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Casa Pia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Estrela Amadora scores 1.75 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Casa Pia scores 0.38 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Estrela Amadora 75%, Casa Pia 25%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 75%, Casa Pia 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Estrela Amadora has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.11. Estrela Amadora: 12.9 shots per match, Casa Pia: 9.6.

Match halves

Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.38. Casa Pia: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (5 goals). Casa Pia: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.90)
(3.63)
(4.38)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.75Goals scored / match0.38
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.88Goals conceded / match2.13
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
51%Average possession44%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
4.13Shots on target / match2.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.88Shots per match9.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
4.13Shots on target2.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
13.6%Shot conversion3.9%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
51%Possession44%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.4xG for1.11
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.3xG against1.69
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Shooting quality

Estrela Amadora: Efficient finishingCasa Pia: Balanced
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
Accuracy (shots on target)32%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.14

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Estrela Amadora is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.8 pts / match - Casa Pia

Estrela Amadora
DWDLL
Season result split
25% W50% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-2
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 at home
1-2-1
DDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Casa Pia
LDLWL
Season result split
13% W13% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-6
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Estrela Amadora is 361% better for: goals scored per match.

1.75 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.38 goals / match - Casa Pia

Estrela Amadora is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.88 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 2.13 goals / match - Casa Pia

Estrela Amadora scoring profile: very strong

Estrela Amadora scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Casa Pia scoring profile: strong

Casa Pia scores in 25% of matches (2 of 8 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

14Goals scored (season)3
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
15Goals conceded (season)17
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
3.63Average goals in match2.5
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
7Goals scored (last 5)3
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal25%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
75%2 goals13%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
25%3 goals0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0%4 goals0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal88%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
75%2 goals38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
13%3 goals25%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0%4 goals25%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time13%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
25%BTTS in both halves0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
38%Scored in both halves0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
60%BTTS - last 540%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
63%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Estrela Amadora - half-time state
0% leading63% draw38% trailing
Casa Pia - half-time state
0% leading63% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.63Points per match (1st half)0.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.13
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.25Average goals (1st half)0.88
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
25%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
63%No goal before half-time88%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)0.75
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.38
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
2.38Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
25%No goal after half-time88%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Estrela Amadora - second-half results

38% W63% D0% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Casa Pia - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Estrela Amadora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Casa Pia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Estrela Amadora
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
4
4
46-60
5
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Casa Pia
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
5
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.07
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+96%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
19%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Estrela Amadora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Casa Pia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
26%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

Estrela AmadoraLigaCasa Pia
Average goals in match▲ 3.632.75▼ 2.50
Both teams scored▲ 75%51%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%56%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▼ 0%27%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%72%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+-9%
Home attack advantage
+-10%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 - 0 Casa Pia. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Estrela Amadora
4 : 0
Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
3 : 5
Estrela Amadora

FAQ

When do Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia play?

Estrela Amadora face Casa Pia on 24 October 2026 in Liga NOS at Estádio José Gomes. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estrela Amadora won 2, Casa Pia won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?

Estrela Amadora score 1.75 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 0.38. The Liga NOS average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 25% of Casa Pia's.

What form are Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia in?

Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Casa Pia 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.