Estrela Amadora vs CD Tondela: match statistics
Estrela Amadora holds a clear advantage as the home team in this match. The hosts average 1.27 goals per game at home with 52% possession and a 9% shot accuracy, giving them a solid offensive foundation. CD Tondela performs very poorly in away matches, scoring only 0.73 goals on average per game with 55% of matches resulting in a failure to score, while conceding an average of 2 goals. The visitors have a -14 goal difference on the road, and their recent form in the last five matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) confirms the team's struggles. Estrela Amadora, despite their average recent form, should exploit the opponent's weaknesses and win this match in front of their home crowd. The difference in quality, especially considering the home advantage and the visitors' dreadful away form, points to an Estrela Amadora victory.
Estrela Amadora vs CD Tondela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estrela Amadora played CD Tondela in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Estrela Amadora: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CD Tondela: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estrela Amadora scores 1.18 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. CD Tondela scores 0.68 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estrela Amadora 50%, CD Tondela 36%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 55%, CD Tondela 55%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
CD Tondela has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.11. Estrela Amadora: 10.4 shots per match, CD Tondela: 10.7.
Match halves
Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.59. CD Tondela: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (7 goals). CD Tondela: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estrela Amadora holds a clear advantage as the home team in this match. The hosts average 1.27 goals per game at home with 52% possession and a 9% shot accuracy, giving them a solid offensive foundation. CD Tondela performs very poorly in away matches, scoring only 0.73 goals on average per game with 55% of matches resulting in a failure to score, while conceding an average of 2 goals. The visitors have a -14 goal difference on the road, and their recent form in the last five matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) confirms the team's struggles. Estrela Amadora, despite their average recent form, should exploit the opponent's weaknesses and win this match in front of their home crowd. The difference in quality, especially considering the home advantage and the visitors' dreadful away form, points to an Estrela Amadora victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | CD Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estrela Amadora is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.6 pts / match - CD Tondela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.68 goals / match - CD Tondela
CD Tondela is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.64 goals / match - CD Tondela
Estrela Amadora scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
CD Tondela scores in 41% of matches (9 of 22 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
Over / Under - CD Tondela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estrela Amadora is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.82 pts / match - CD Tondela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Tondela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estrela Amadora
CD Tondela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | CD Tondela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 - 0 CD Tondela. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs CD Tondela?
The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 0:2 CD Tondela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs CD Tondela?
Estrela Amadora score 1.18 goals per game on average and CD Tondela 0.68. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 36% of CD Tondela's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and CD Tondela in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CD Tondela 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs CD Tondela?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.