Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Estrela Amadora play FC Arouca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 7 December 2025 at 19:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Estrela Amadora: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. FC Arouca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Estrela Amadora scores 1.12 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. FC Arouca scores 1.38 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Estrela Amadora 47%, FC Arouca 56%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 53%, FC Arouca 68%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

FC Arouca has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.15. Estrela Amadora: 10.8 shots per match, FC Arouca: 10.7.

Match halves

Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56. FC Arouca: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (9 goals). FC Arouca: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
24Shots9
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
9Shots on target2
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
2.42xG0.94
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
5Corners3
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
39Dangerous attacks32
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
12Fouls14
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
1Cards8
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
1.12Goals scored / match1.38
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
1.65Goals conceded / match1.88
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
47%Average possession50%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
3.56Shots on target / match3.59
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.82Shots per match10.71
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
3.56Shots on target3.59
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
10.3%Shot conversion12.9%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
47%Possession50%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
1.15xG for1.2
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
1.53xG against1.45
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

Shooting quality

Estrela Amadora: BalancedFC Arouca: Balanced
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FC Arouca is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 2 pts / match - FC Arouca

Estrela Amadora
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W35% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-12-16
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-7
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
FC Arouca
WLDWW
Season result split
35% W18% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-16
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Arouca is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.12 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.38 goals / match - FC Arouca

Estrela Amadora is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.65 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.88 goals / match - FC Arouca

Estrela Amadora scoring profile: strong

Estrela Amadora scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

FC Arouca scoring profile: very strong

FC Arouca scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

38Goals scored (season)47
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
56Goals conceded (season)64
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
2.76Average goals in match3.26
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
5Goals scored (last 5)10
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal74%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
29%2 goals38%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
18%3 goals26%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
6%4 goals0%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal79%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
56%2 goals56%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
21%3 goals29%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
9%4 goals15%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time24%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
9%BTTS in both halves6%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
21%Scored in both halves24%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
60%BTTS - last 580%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time26%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Estrela Amadora - half-time state
21% leading38% draw41% trailing
FC Arouca - half-time state
21% leading41% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.03
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.53
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.94
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.47
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
44%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
68%No goal before half-time59%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

After half-time (2nd half)

1.15Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.79
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
41%Clean sheet after half-time35%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca
56%No goal after half-time44%
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca

Estrela Amadora - second-half results

26% W35% R38% P
34
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FC Arouca - second-half results

32% W29% R38% P
35
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Estrela Amadora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
FC Arouca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Estrela Amadora
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
6
5
16-30
8
11
31-45
4
13
46-60
9
12
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

FC Arouca
ScoredConceded
9
10
0-15
2
8
16-30
7
14
31-45
11
9
46-60
12
9
61-75
6
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Estrela Amadora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

FC Arouca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

Estrela AmadoraLigaFC Arouca
Average goals in match 2.762.68 3.26
Both teams scored 47%48% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%54% 68%
Clean sheets 24%29% 21%
Goal before half-time 71%69% 71%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 - 1 FC Arouca. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca?

The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 3:1 FC Arouca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca?

Estrela Amadora score 1.12 goals per game on average and FC Arouca 1.38. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 56% of FC Arouca's.

What form are Estrela Amadora and FC Arouca in?

Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and FC Arouca 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.