Estrela Amadora vs GD Estoril Praia: match statistics
Estrela Amadora displays solid home form with 44% draws and only 33% losses at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent at home. The hosts hold a positive home goal difference (+1) and a higher average possession (54% vs 50%), indicating their control of the game. GD Estoril Praia struggles in away matches, losing 63% of games and holding a negative goal difference (-6), conceding an average of 2.13 goals per match. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG); however, home advantage and the visitors' away weakness favor the hosts. Considering Estoril's high scoring efficiency (28 goals this season) and Estrela's tendency to draw at home, I expect a close match with a slight edge for the hosts.
Estrela Amadora vs GD Estoril Praia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estrela Amadora played GD Estoril Praia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 19 January 2026. Final score: 0:5.
Current form
Estrela Amadora: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. GD Estoril Praia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estrela Amadora scores 1.35 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. GD Estoril Praia scores 1.65 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estrela Amadora 53%, GD Estoril Praia 59%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 53%, GD Estoril Praia 59%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
GD Estoril Praia has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.21. Estrela Amadora: 11.6 shots per match, GD Estoril Praia: 12.4.
Match halves
Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65. GD Estoril Praia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (7 goals). GD Estoril Praia: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estrela Amadora displays solid home form with 44% draws and only 33% losses at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent at home. The hosts hold a positive home goal difference (+1) and a higher average possession (54% vs 50%), indicating their control of the game. GD Estoril Praia struggles in away matches, losing 63% of games and holding a negative goal difference (-6), conceding an average of 2.13 goals per match. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG); however, home advantage and the visitors' away weakness favor the hosts. Considering Estoril's high scoring efficiency (28 goals this season) and Estrela's tendency to draw at home, I expect a close match with a slight edge for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estrela Amadora is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.4 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Estoril Praia is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.65 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia
Estrela Amadora is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.71 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia
Estrela Amadora scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while GD Estoril Praia keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
GD Estoril Praia scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
Over / Under - GD Estoril Praia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
GD Estoril Praia is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.29 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
GD Estoril Praia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estrela Amadora
GD Estoril Praia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 45% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 - 0 GD Estoril Praia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs GD Estoril Praia?
The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 0:5 GD Estoril Praia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs GD Estoril Praia?
Estrela Amadora score 1.35 goals per game on average and GD Estoril Praia 1.65. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 59% of GD Estoril Praia's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and GD Estoril Praia in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and GD Estoril Praia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs GD Estoril Praia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.