Portugal - Liga NOSData current as of 12 September 2026

Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente: match statistics

Estrela Amadora crest
Estrela Amadora
2 : 2half-time 0:1
Gil Vicente crest
Gil Vicente
125%(3.65)
X30%(3.40)
245%(1.91)

Gil Vicente displays clearly superior form and statistics in this encounter. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with 11 wins, while Estrela Amadora sits in 12th position with just 5 victories this season. The key is the form over the last 5 matches - Gil Vicente has averaged 1.8 points per game and scored 11 goals, whereas the hosts have managed only 1.0 point per game and a mere 3 goals in that period. Estrela loses 42% of their home matches and wins only 25%, while Gil Vicente triumphs in 33% of away games and boasts an impressive 42% clean sheets. Additionally, the visitors have a better conversion rate (10% vs 8%), more shots on target (4.42 vs 3.83), and a superior away goal difference (+2) compared to the hosts' home goal difference (-5). All indicators point to Gil Vicente's advantage, although the visitors' solid defense and Estrela's poor finishing could lead to a draw.

Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Estrela Amadora played Gil Vicente in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Estrela Amadora: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Gil Vicente: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Estrela Amadora scores 1.08 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Gil Vicente scores 1.46 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.72 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Estrela Amadora 46%, Gil Vicente 46%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 50%, Gil Vicente 46%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Gil Vicente has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.15. Estrela Amadora: 10.8 shots per match, Gil Vicente: 14.2.

Match halves

Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.54. Gil Vicente: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (7 goals). Gil Vicente: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Gil Vicente displays clearly superior form and statistics in this encounter. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with 11 wins, while Estrela Amadora sits in 12th position with just 5 victories this season. The key is the form over the last 5 matches - Gil Vicente has averaged 1.8 points per game and scored 11 goals, whereas the hosts have managed only 1.0 point per game and a mere 3 goals in that period. Estrela loses 42% of their home matches and wins only 25%, while Gil Vicente triumphs in 33% of away games and boasts an impressive 42% clean sheets. Additionally, the visitors have a better conversion rate (10% vs 8%), more shots on target (4.42 vs 3.83), and a superior away goal difference (+2) compared to the hosts' home goal difference (-5). All indicators point to Gil Vicente's advantage, although the visitors' solid defense and Estrela's poor finishing could lead to a draw.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
9Shots19
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
5Shots on target6
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
1.04xG2.1
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
0Corners8
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
16Dangerous attacks67
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
16Fouls16
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
1Cards2
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
1.08Goals scored / match1.46
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
1.71Goals conceded / match0.96
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
48%Average possession49%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
3.58Shots on target / match4.63
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.79Shots per match14.17
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
3.58Shots on target4.63
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
10%Shot conversion10.3%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
48%Possession49%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
1.15xG for1.55
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
1.54xG against1.14
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

Shooting quality

Estrela Amadora: BalancedGil Vicente: Attacking
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
Accuracy (shots on target)33%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gil Vicente is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.8 pts / match - Gil Vicente

Estrela Amadora
DWLLD
Season result split
21% W38% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-9-10
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Gil Vicente
WWWLL
Season result split
46% W29% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-7-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gil Vicente is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.08 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.46 goals / match - Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.71 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.96 goals / match - Gil Vicente

Estrela Amadora scoring profile: mixed

Estrela Amadora scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Gil Vicente keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).

Gil Vicente scoring profile: very strong

Gil Vicente scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).

26Goals scored (season)35
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
41Goals conceded (season)23
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
2.79Average goals in match2.42
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
3Goals scored (last 5)11
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal79%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
25%2 goals46%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
21%3 goals8%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
4%4 goals8%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal58%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
54%2 goals29%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
25%3 goals8%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
13%4 goals0%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time21%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
8%BTTS in both halves4%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
21%Scored in both halves29%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
40%BTTS - last 580%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gil Vicente is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.5 pts / match - Gil Vicente

Estrela Amadora - half-time state
21% leading38% draw42% trailing
Gil Vicente - half-time state
42% leading25% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.5
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.29
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
46%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
67%No goal before half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1.46
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.13
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
46%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
58%No goal after half-time54%
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente

Estrela Amadora - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gil Vicente - second-half results

33% W46% D21% L
36
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Estrela Amadora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Gil Vicente - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Estrela Amadora
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
6
3
16-30
5
9
31-45
3
10
46-60
7
9
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Gil Vicente
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
1
6
16-30
11
5
31-45
6
2
46-60
2
5
61-75
9
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Estrela Amadora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Gil Vicente

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

Estrela AmadoraLigaGil Vicente
Average goals in match 2.792.72 2.42
Both teams scored 46%47% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%55% 46%
Clean sheets 25%30% 42%
Goal before half-time 71%71% 88%
Goal after half-time 75%78% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Gil VicenteGoalMurilo de Souza Costa
  2. Gil VicenteYellow cardMurilo de Souza Costa
  3. Estrela AmadoraYellow cardPaulo Daniel Valente Moreira
  4. Gil VicenteYellow cardFacundo Agustín Cáseres
  5. Estrela AmadoraSubstitutionOn: Tom MoustierOff: Ianis Stoica
  6. Estrela AmadoraGoalAbraham Marcus
  7. Estrela AmadoraSubstitutionOn: Bilal BrahimiOff: Abraham Marcus
  8. Estrela AmadoraSubstitutionOn: Otavio Manoel Galdino FernandesOff: Max Scholze

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Luis Miguel Branco GodinhoMatches officiated: 14
4.79Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins28%Draws28%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 - 1 Gil Vicente. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Gil Vicente FC
2 : 0
Estrela Amadora

FAQ

What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente?

The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 2:2 Gil Vicente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente?

Estrela Amadora score 1.08 goals per game on average and Gil Vicente 1.46. The Liga NOS average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 46% of Gil Vicente's.

What form are Estrela Amadora and Gil Vicente in?

Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Gil Vicente 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.