Estrela Amadora vs Santa Clara: match statistics
Estrela Amadora performs significantly better at home than Santa Clara does in away matches. The hosts have a higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.22) and better scoring efficiency in home games, averaging 1.3 goals per match. Santa Clara struggles in away matches, with a win rate of just 11% and as many as 44% of matches without scoring a goal. The form of both teams in their last five matches is poor, but Estrela has the home advantage and better offensive statistics. The goal difference also favors the hosts (-4 vs -6), suggesting greater defensive stability for Estrela on their own ground. Taking all factors into account, I expect a difficult but victorious match for Estrela Amadora.
Estrela Amadora vs Santa Clara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estrela Amadora played Santa Clara in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Estrela Amadora: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Santa Clara: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estrela Amadora scores 1.20 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Santa Clara scores 0.80 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estrela Amadora 50%, Santa Clara 40%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 55%, Santa Clara 35%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Santa Clara has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.12. Estrela Amadora: 10.6 shots per match, Santa Clara: 12.0.
Match halves
Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Santa Clara: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (7 goals). Santa Clara: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estrela Amadora performs significantly better at home than Santa Clara does in away matches. The hosts have a higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.22) and better scoring efficiency in home games, averaging 1.3 goals per match. Santa Clara struggles in away matches, with a win rate of just 11% and as many as 44% of matches without scoring a goal. The form of both teams in their last five matches is poor, but Estrela has the home advantage and better offensive statistics. The goal difference also favors the hosts (-4 vs -6), suggesting greater defensive stability for Estrela on their own ground. Taking all factors into account, I expect a difficult but victorious match for Estrela Amadora.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estrela Amadora is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.2 pts / match - Santa Clara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.8 goals / match - Santa Clara
Santa Clara is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.25 goals / match - Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Santa Clara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Santa Clara scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
Over / Under - Santa Clara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Santa Clara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 55% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 - 0 Santa Clara. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs Santa Clara?
The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 1:0 Santa Clara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Santa Clara?
Estrela Amadora score 1.20 goals per game on average and Santa Clara 0.80. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 40% of Santa Clara's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and Santa Clara in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Santa Clara 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Santa Clara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estrela Amadora vs Santa Clara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.