Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Sporting Braga demonstrates superior form and quality on the road. The visitors are averaging 2 points per match in their last 5 fixtures compared to just 1.4 for the hosts, reflecting better condition. Braga dominates in possession (67% vs 56%), conversion rate (11% vs 8%), and average away goals (1.75 vs Estrela's 1.25 at home). Additionally, xG validates the visitors' edge (1.81 vs 1.51), and their away goal difference (+6) vastly outperforms Estrela's home record (+1). Estrela Amadora holds a mere 25% home win rate with 38% losses, while Braga wins 38% of their away matches. All key metrics favor Sporting Braga, making an away win the most likely scenario for this clash.
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estrela Amadora played Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Estrela Amadora: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sporting Braga: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estrela Amadora scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Sporting Braga scores 1.75 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estrela Amadora 50%, Sporting Braga 50%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 50%, Sporting Braga 63%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.22. Estrela Amadora: 11.6 shots per match, Sporting Braga: 13.4.
Match halves
Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56. Sporting Braga: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Estrela Amadora: 16-30 (5 goals). Sporting Braga: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga demonstrates superior form and quality on the road. The visitors are averaging 2 points per match in their last 5 fixtures compared to just 1.4 for the hosts, reflecting better condition. Braga dominates in possession (67% vs 56%), conversion rate (11% vs 8%), and average away goals (1.75 vs Estrela's 1.25 at home). Additionally, xG validates the visitors' edge (1.81 vs 1.51), and their away goal difference (+6) vastly outperforms Estrela's home record (+1). Estrela Amadora holds a mere 25% home win rate with 38% losses, while Braga wins 38% of their away matches. All key metrics favor Sporting Braga, making an away win the most likely scenario for this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 2 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.75 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.94 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Estrela Amadora scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Sporting Braga scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.44 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estrela Amadora
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.70 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 3:3 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
Estrela Amadora score 1.25 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 1.75. The Liga NOS average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 50% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sporting Braga 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
The statistical background for Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.