Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP: match statistics
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estrela Amadora play Sporting CP in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 21:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Estrela Amadora: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Sporting CP: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estrela Amadora scores 1.12 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Sporting CP scores 2.62 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estrela Amadora 47%, Sporting CP 56%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 53%, Sporting CP 71%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting CP has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.15. Estrela Amadora: 10.8 shots per match, Sporting CP: 17.6.
Match halves
Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56. Sporting CP: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (9 goals). Sporting CP: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Sporting CP is the clear favorite for this match: they sit 2nd in the table versus Estrela in 14th and have 21 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss this season, while Estrela have 6 wins, 10 draws and 12 losses. The visitors have a far superior attacking output — 72 goals this season versus 33 for Estrela, and 13 goals in the last 5 matches versus 7 for the hosts; on average Sporting score 2.29 goals away, and Estrela 1.43 at home. Chance quality also favors Sporting: on average 6.36 shots on target and 16.21 shots per match with a 14% conversion versus 4.21 shots on target, 14.07 shots and 10% conversion for Estrela; additionally Estrela fail to score in 36% of home games, while Sporting have 0% of away matches without a goal. Defensively the visitors’ advantage is clear — Sporting concede 0.79 goals per away game on average (17 conceded this season) versus 1.5 conceded by Estrela at home (47 conceded), and xG favors the visitors 1.84 to 1.43 for the hosts. Considering form (Sporting have 3 wins in the last 5 and 1.8 pts per game, Estrela only 1 win and 1.0 pt), the superiority in chance creation and better defence, I assess approximately a 70% probability of a visitors’ win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting CP is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 2.2 pts / match - Sporting CP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting CP is 134% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 2.62 goals / match - Sporting CP
Sporting CP is 132% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.71 goals / match - Sporting CP
Estrela Amadora scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Sporting CP keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).
Sporting CP scores in 100% of matches (34 of 34 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Estrela Amadora
Over / Under — Sporting CP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting CP is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 2.06 pts / match - Sporting CP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.76 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 29% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 - 1 Sporting CP. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP?
The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 0:1 Sporting CP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP?
Estrela Amadora score 1.12 goals per game on average and Sporting CP 2.62. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 56% of Sporting CP's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and Sporting CP in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Sporting CP 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.