Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Morón: match statistics
Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Morón: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes Caseros played Deportivo Morón in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Estudiantes Caseros: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Deportivo Morón: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.91 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Deportivo Morón scores 1.59 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes Caseros 34%, Deportivo Morón 56%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Caseros 28%, Deportivo Morón 56%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Morón has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.17. Estudiantes Caseros: 9.1 shots per match, Deportivo Morón: 10.7.
Match halves
Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.53. Deportivo Morón: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes Caseros: 76-90+ (9 goals). Deportivo Morón: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Morón have the stronger overall season record, with 17 wins and 51 goals scored compared with Estudiantes Caseros’ 12 wins and 29 goals. However, home advantage favors the hosts, who have won 44% of their home matches, while the visitors have won 31% of their away games and lost 44%. Estudiantes concede an average of 0.81 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches, whereas Morón concede 1.31 goals away from home and record a clean sheet in just 13% of games. The hosts also create slightly better chances in these conditions, with an average home xG of 1.28 compared with the visitors’ 1.21 away from home. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches, so Estudiantes’ edge based on their home statistics is moderate, and a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Estudiantes average 1.94 goals at home, while Deportivo Morón concede 1.31 goals on the road, making a home goal fairly likely. The greater uncertainty is whether the visitors will score: Estudiantes keep a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches and concede just 0.69 goals on average, while Deportivo Morón fail to score in 31% of their away games. The visitors’ recent form points towards BTTS - Yes: they averaged 1.6 goals across their last five matches, and both teams scored in each of them. At the same time, Estudiantes conceded just 3 goals over that period, and BTTS landed in only 20% of their last five matches. Therefore, the slightly more likely outcome is that the hosts score while the visitors fail to find the net—BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 81% of matches involving the two teams, providing the strongest signal in favour of the selected line. Estudiantes average 1.94 goals scored, while Deportivo Morón concede 1.31; the hosts’ xG of 1.62 also exceeds the 1.35 xG conceded by the visitors. However, the hosts’ defence supports a more cautious forecast: they concede an average of 0.69 goals and keep a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Recent form is mixed: Estudiantes scored an average of just 0.8 goals across their last five matches, while each of Deportivo Morón’s last five games featured at least three goals. Therefore, Over 1.5 has a clearer edge than Over 2.5, despite the projected total of 2.50 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by an Estudiantes Caseros win at full-time looks the most likely outcome. The hosts were drawing at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches and did not score a single first-half goal during that period, while also conceding an average of just 0.2 goals. Deportivo Morón led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, which is a significant argument against a half-time draw, but the hosts’ solid defence points to a cautious start. After the break, the advantage shifts to Estudiantes: across the full sample, they scored an average of 1.06 goals in second halves, while the visitors conceded 0.94. The case for a home win at full-time is further supported by their 75% win rate compared with Deportivo Morón’s 31%, as well as a higher xG of 1.62 against 1.21.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Caseros | Deportivo Morón | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Morón is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.59 goals / match - Deportivo Morón
Estudiantes Caseros is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1 goals / match - Deportivo Morón
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Deportivo Morón keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
Deportivo Morón scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes Caseros
Over / Under - Deportivo Morón
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Morón is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.78 pts / match - Deportivo Morón
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Morón - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes Caseros
Deportivo Morón
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Caseros | Liga | Deportivo Morón | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.75 | 1.94 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 39% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 33% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Estudiantes Caseros 0 - 1 - 2 Deportivo Morón. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Morón?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Estudiantes Caseros 2:0 Deportivo Morón. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes Caseros and Deportivo Morón?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Caseros won 0, Deportivo Morón won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Morón?
Estudiantes Caseros score 0.91 goals per game on average and Deportivo Morón 1.59. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Estudiantes Caseros's matches and 56% of Deportivo Morón's.
What form are Estudiantes Caseros and Deportivo Morón in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Caseros have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Deportivo Morón 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Morón?
The statistical background for Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Morón — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.