Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste: match statistics
Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes Caseros played Ferro Carril Oeste in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Estudiantes Caseros: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ferro Carril Oeste: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.88 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Ferro Carril Oeste scores 1.23 and concedes 0.88. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes Caseros 35%, Ferro Carril Oeste 42%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Caseros 27%, Ferro Carril Oeste 38%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Ferro Carril Oeste has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.16. Estudiantes Caseros: 9.3 shots per match, Ferro Carril Oeste: 12.5.
Match halves
Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.46. Ferro Carril Oeste: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes Caseros: 76-90+ (6 goals). Ferro Carril Oeste: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste have a clearly superior season record, winning 16 of 26 matches compared with just 9 victories for Estudiantes Caseros. The visitors are also in better rhythm, having recorded 3 wins and scored 7 goals in their last five matches, while the hosts have won only once and scored 5 goals. Away from home, Ferro win 62% of their matches and lose just 15%, averaging 1.23 goals scored and keeping a clean sheet in 54% of games. Estudiantes defend solidly at home, conceding an average of 0.77 goals with an xG against of 0.82, but they fail to score in 31% of their home fixtures and average only 1.00 goal per match. The visitors’ edge in current form, shot conversion rate (12% versus 10%), and away-result consistency points to a narrow victory for Ferro.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS figures are moderately low: 46% for Estudiantes Caseros and 38% for Ferro, compared with a league average of just 40%. Ferro keep a clean sheet in 54% of their matches, while Estudiantes concede only 0.92 goals per game on average, clearly supporting a scenario in which one side fails to score. Both teams average 1.23 goals scored, but the hosts have failed to score in 23% of matches, as have the visitors, while the league average of 1.95 goals points towards a more cautious game. The last five matches have raised BTTS to 60% for both sides, but Ferro conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period, making this a weaker signal than the visitors’ season-long defensive solidity. BTTS - No remains the most likely outcome, as at least one team has a realistic chance of finishing the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The overall season profile strongly supports a low-scoring outcome: both teams had matches with fewer than 3.5 goals in 85% of cases, while the league average is just 1.95 goals. Estudiantes concede an average of 0.92 goals per match, compared with just 0.85 for Ferro, with the visitors keeping a clean sheet in as many as 54% of their games. The attacking potential is not negligible, however, as the hosts generate an average of 1.64 xG and Ferro 1.32 xG, supporting a forecast of approximately 2.25 total goals. Ferro’s last five matches were more open, with 80% finishing Over 2.5 goals and an average of 1.8 goals conceded, but this does not undermine the very strong season-long signal for fewer than 4 goals. The best option is Under 3.5, as even with improved finishing from both sides, four or more goals remains unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a Ferro victory by full-time, as the visitors were level at the break in 62% of their matches, while Estudiantes were level at half-time in 80% of their last five outings. The opening stages should be cautious: Ferro concede an average of just 0.38 goals before the break and kept a clean sheet at half-time in 77% of their matches. After the interval, the form advantage shifts towards Ferro, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 0.92 goals in second halves, compared with 0.77 for the hosts. Estudiantes have a higher average xG, 1.64 versus 1.32, but have scored only 1.0 goal per match across their last five fixtures and lost 60% of those games, whereas Ferro have earned 1.8 points per match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Caseros | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.8 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.23 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).
Ferro Carril Oeste scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes Caseros
Over / Under - Ferro Carril Oeste
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ferro Carril Oeste - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes Caseros
Ferro Carril Oeste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Caseros | Liga | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.73 | 1.94 | ▲ 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estudiantes Caseros 1 - 0 - 0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Estudiantes Caseros 2:2 Ferro Carril Oeste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Estudiantes Caseros score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ferro Carril Oeste 1.23. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Estudiantes Caseros's matches and 42% of Ferro Carril Oeste's.
What form are Estudiantes Caseros and Ferro Carril Oeste in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Caseros have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ferro Carril Oeste 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The statistical background for Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.