Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio Ciudad de CaserosData current as of 30 August 2026

Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Estudiantes Caseros play Ferro Carril Oeste in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros.

Current form

Estudiantes Caseros: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ferro Carril Oeste: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.88 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Ferro Carril Oeste scores 1.23 and concedes 0.88. League average: 1.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Estudiantes Caseros 35%, Ferro Carril Oeste 42%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Caseros 27%, Ferro Carril Oeste 38%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.

xG, shots and style

Ferro Carril Oeste has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.16. Estudiantes Caseros: 9.3 shots per match, Ferro Carril Oeste: 12.5.

Match halves

Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.46. Ferro Carril Oeste: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Estudiantes Caseros: 76-90+ (6 goals). Ferro Carril Oeste: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.60)
(2.62)
(2.87)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.88Goals scored / match1.23
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.85Goals conceded / match0.88
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
51%Average possession50%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
2.96Shots on target / match3.65
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.31Shots per match12.54
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
2.96Shots on target3.65
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
9.5%Shot conversion9.8%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
51%Possession50%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
1.16xG for1.48
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.96xG against1.12
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

Shooting quality

Estudiantes Caseros: BalancedFerro Carril Oeste: Balanced
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
Accuracy (shots on target)32%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ferro Carril Oeste is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.8 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste

Estudiantes Caseros
LDLWL
Season result split
35% W31% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-9
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Ferro Carril Oeste
LLWWW
Season result split
62% W15% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-4-6
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-3-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ferro Carril Oeste is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.23 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste

Estudiantes Caseros scoring profile: mixed

Estudiantes Caseros scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).

Ferro Carril Oeste scoring profile: strong

Ferro Carril Oeste scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).

23Goals scored (season)32
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
22Goals conceded (season)23
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
1.73Average goals in match2.12
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal77%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
19%2 goals35%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
8%3 goals8%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0%4 goals4%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal58%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
19%2 goals19%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
4%3 goals8%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0%4 goals4%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
Estudiantes Caseros - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 26 matches
42%
Ferro Carril Oeste - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 26 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time12%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
8%Scored in both halves23%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

BTTS and goal count

15%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
60%BTTS - last 560%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

2nd half

58%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Estudiantes Caseros - half-time state
19% leading58% draw23% trailing
Ferro Carril Oeste - half-time state
23% leading50% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.15Points per match (1st half)1.19
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.85Average goals (1st half)0.85
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
69%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
69%No goal before half-time65%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

After half-time (2nd half)

1.15Points per match (2nd half)2
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
0.88Average goals (2nd half)1.27
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
62%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste
62%No goal after half-time35%
Estudiantes CaserosFerro Carril Oeste

Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results

19% W58% R23% P
30
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding184%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ferro Carril Oeste - second-half results

58% W27% R15% P
31
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding270%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Estudiantes Caseros - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Ferro Carril Oeste - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Estudiantes Caseros
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ferro Carril Oeste
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
7
31-45
8
5
46-60
6
5
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Estudiantes Caseros

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Ferro Carril Oeste

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
164%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

Estudiantes CaserosLigaFerro Carril Oeste
Average goals in match 1.731.94 2.12
Both teams scored 35%40% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%32% 38%
Clean sheets 38%38% 42%
Goal before half-time 50%56% 58%
Goal after half-time 58%71% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.94
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / match
0.75
Away goals / match
+60%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Estudiantes Caseros 1 - 0 - 0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Estudiantes Caseros and Ferro Carril Oeste play?

Estudiantes Caseros face Ferro Carril Oeste on 30 August 2026 in Prim B Nacional at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Estudiantes Caseros score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ferro Carril Oeste 1.23. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Estudiantes Caseros's matches and 42% of Ferro Carril Oeste's.

What form are Estudiantes Caseros and Ferro Carril Oeste in?

Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Caseros have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ferro Carril Oeste 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

The statistical background for Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.