Estudiantes Caseros vs Godoy Cruz: match statistics
Estudiantes Caseros vs Godoy Cruz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes Caseros played Godoy Cruz in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Estudiantes Caseros: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Godoy Cruz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.64 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Godoy Cruz scores 1.07 and concedes 0.71. League average: 1.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes Caseros 21%, Godoy Cruz 36%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Caseros 14%, Godoy Cruz 29%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Godoy Cruz has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.11. Estudiantes Caseros: 8.4 shots per match, Godoy Cruz: 12.6.
Match halves
Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.21. Godoy Cruz: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes Caseros: 31-45+ (3 goals). Godoy Cruz: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.86 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Godoy Cruz are the favorites: they have 15 goals scored this season versus 9 for Estudiantes and 8 goals in the last 5 matches compared to the hosts’ 4. The visitors generate higher xG on the road (1.42 vs 1.10) and average 12 shots per match versus the hosts’ 8.67, which translates into more high-quality chances despite lower conversion (4% vs 6%). Estudiantes have the edge in average shots on target (2.5 vs 2.0) and higher finishing efficiency, but 50% of their home matches end goalless and in the last 5 games they have averaged only 1.2 points. Defenses are similar — both concede 0.83 goals on average and have 33% clean sheets, so the result will depend on offensive efficiency. Given Godoy Cruz’s advantage in xG, shot volume and better points form (1.6 vs 1.2), I forecast an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators are low: Estudiantes has BTTS 38%, Godoy Cruz 33%, and the league average is 38%, meaning only ~1 in 3 matches ends Goal/Goal. Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches and concedes 0.63 goals per game on average, while Godoy Cruz scores only 0.5 goals and concedes 0.83, indicating a high probability the visitors will not score. Additionally, the league has a very high clean sheet rate of 79% and a low goals-per-game average of 1.87; xG shows 1.77 for the home side versus 1.42 for the away side, and the hosts have more shots on target (5.0 vs 2.0) and better conversion (11% vs 4%). In the short term there is some BTTS risk: in the last 5 matches Estudiantes has BTTS 60% (0.8 scored, 1.0 conceded), and Godoy Cruz has scored 8 goals in 5 matches (1.6 per game) with BTTS 40%, but these signals do not outweigh the seasonal clean sheet advantage. Considering the dominant seasonal signal (BTTS 33–38% and 79% clean sheets) and a moderate uptick in form risk, I assess BTTS chance at 30% (Yes) vs 70% (No) and recommend: No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based projection estimates about 1.42 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.27 for Godoy Cruz, totaling ~2.69 goals. At this aggregate, a Poisson distribution indicates ~75% probability of Over 1.5 goals, ~51% for Over 2.5 goals and only ~29% for Over 3.5 goals. The home side posts a higher attacking xG (1.77), averages 5 shots on target versus 2 for the opponent and has a superior shot conversion (11% vs 4%), which raises the likelihood of additional goals; conversely the away team has not had a seasonal match exceeding 2.5 goals (0%), limiting the very high-scoring scenarios. Additionally the league has a low goals average (1.87) and a high share of clean sheets (~79%), so Over 3.5 looks unlikely. The strongest signal in the data is Over 1.5 (approx. 75%), hence the recommendation to play the Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Estudiantes dominate the first half: the hosts led at the break in 4 matches (50%), scored 9 first-half goals (1.0 average) and conceded only 0.13. The difference in chance creation and efficiency is clear — hosts’ xG 1.77 versus Godoy Cruz 1.42, shots on target average 5.0 vs 2.0 and conversion rate 11% vs 4%. Over the full match the hosts win 50% of games compared to the visitors’ 17% wins, and the season goals average is 1.5 for Estudiantes versus 0.5 for Godoy Cruz, which supports holding the lead. Additionally the hosts kept a clean sheet at half-time in 88% of matches, so the strongest scenario is 1/1 (40%), with alternatives X/X (25%) and X/1 (15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Caseros | Godoy Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Godoy Cruz is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.6 pts / match - Godoy Cruz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Godoy Cruz is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.64 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.07 goals / match - Godoy Cruz
Godoy Cruz is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 0.71 goals / match - Godoy Cruz
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Godoy Cruz keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
Godoy Cruz scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes Caseros
Over / Under - Godoy Cruz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Godoy Cruz is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.57 pts / match - Godoy Cruz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Godoy Cruz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes Caseros
Godoy Cruz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Caseros | Liga | Godoy Cruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.57 | 1.86 | • 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 21% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 29% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 56% | • 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Caseros vs Godoy Cruz?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Estudiantes Caseros 1:0 Godoy Cruz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Caseros vs Godoy Cruz?
Estudiantes Caseros score 0.64 goals per game on average and Godoy Cruz 1.07. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Estudiantes Caseros's matches and 36% of Godoy Cruz's.
What form are Estudiantes Caseros and Godoy Cruz in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Caseros have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Godoy Cruz 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Caseros vs Godoy Cruz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estudiantes Caseros vs Godoy Cruz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.