Estudiantes Caseros vs San Telmo: match statistics
Estudiantes Caseros vs San Telmo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes Caseros play San Telmo in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Estudiantes Caseros: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. San Telmo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.86 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. San Telmo scores 0.80 and concedes 1.05. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes Caseros 29%, San Telmo 35%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Caseros 24%, San Telmo 30%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
San Telmo has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.10. Estudiantes Caseros: 8.8 shots per match, San Telmo: 9.7.
Match halves
Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38. San Telmo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes Caseros: 16-30 (4 goals). San Telmo: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win: Estudiantes Caseros have won 4 of their last 5 matches and over that stretch average 2.6 points per game, while San Telmo average 1.4 points and only 2 wins in their last five. The hosts generate more chances at home — on average 7.5 shots and 2.5 shots on target per game with xG 1.04, versus the visitors who average 5.25 shots, 2.0 on target and xG 0.83 away. Defensively the hosts also look better: Estudiantes concede average xG against of 0.79 and 0.75 goals conceded per home game, while San Telmo have as much as 1.8 xG against and 1.0 goals conceded on the road. San Telmo’s strength is a higher finishing efficiency — 14% on the road versus 3% for the hosts — but the visitors have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches compared to Estudiantes’ 6 and have conceded 4. Considering the home advantage in chance volume, the superior xG and better form over the last 5 matches (the hosts have not conceded in those 5 games), I give Estudiantes Caseros the higher probability to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Caseros | San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes Caseros is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1 pts / match - San Telmo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Caseros is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 0.8 goals / match - San Telmo
Estudiantes Caseros is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.05 goals / match - San Telmo
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while San Telmo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
San Telmo scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Estudiantes Caseros
Over / Under — San Telmo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes Caseros is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.1 pts / match - San Telmo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
San Telmo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes Caseros
San Telmo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Caseros | Liga | San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.89 | • 1.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 30% | • 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 57% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Estudiantes Caseros 1 - 0 - 1 San Telmo. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Caseros vs San Telmo?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Estudiantes Caseros 1:1 San Telmo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes Caseros and San Telmo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Caseros won 1, San Telmo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Caseros vs San Telmo?
Estudiantes Caseros score 0.86 goals per game on average and San Telmo 0.80. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Estudiantes Caseros's matches and 35% of San Telmo's.
What form are Estudiantes Caseros and San Telmo in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Caseros have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and San Telmo 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Caseros vs San Telmo?
The statistical background for Estudiantes Caseros vs San Telmo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.