Estudiantes Mérida vs Caracas: match statistics
Caracas is showing better form in their last five matches with a record of 2 wins and 2 draws and only 1 defeat, giving them 1.6 points per game. Estudiantes Mérida is displaying poorer form with just 1.2 points per game and a negative streak ending in a loss. Caracas has scored 7 goals in their last five matches while conceding 7, whereas the hosts have netted only 4 goals and conceded as many as 8. The away team's form (wwddl) is decidedly more stable than that of the hosts (llwwl), suggesting greater consistency and confidence for Caracas. Considering all available statistical data, Caracas holds a clear advantage and is the favorite for this match.
Estudiantes Mérida vs Caracas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes Mérida play Caracas in Primera División (Venezuela). The match date is 1 February 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Estudiantes Mérida: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Caracas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.21 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Caracas scores 1.15 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes Mérida 47%, Caracas 69%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Mérida 47%, Caracas 38%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Caracas has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.21. Estudiantes Mérida: 10.8 shots per match, Caracas: 14.8.
Match halves
Estudiantes Mérida: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.53. Caracas: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes Mérida: 31-45+ (6 goals). Caracas: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Caracas is showing better form in their last five matches with a record of 2 wins and 2 draws and only 1 defeat, giving them 1.6 points per game. Estudiantes Mérida is displaying poorer form with just 1.2 points per game and a negative streak ending in a loss. Caracas has scored 7 goals in their last five matches while conceding 7, whereas the hosts have netted only 4 goals and conceded as many as 8. The away team's form (wwddl) is decidedly more stable than that of the hosts (llwwl), suggesting greater consistency and confidence for Caracas. Considering all available statistical data, Caracas holds a clear advantage and is the favorite for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Mérida | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Mérida is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida · 1.15 goals / match - Caracas
Caracas is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida · 1.31 goals / match - Caracas
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Caracas keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Caracas scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Estudiantes Mérida
Over / Under — Caracas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes Mérida is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida · 0.69 pts / match - Caracas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caracas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes Mérida
Caracas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Mérida | Liga | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.49 | • 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 28% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Estudiantes Mérida 1 - 1 - 0 Caracas. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Mérida vs Caracas?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes Mérida 2:2 Caracas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes Mérida and Caracas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Mérida won 1, Caracas won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Mérida vs Caracas?
Estudiantes Mérida score 1.21 goals per game on average and Caracas 1.15. The Primera División average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Estudiantes Mérida's matches and 69% of Caracas's.
What form are Estudiantes Mérida and Caracas in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Mérida have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Caracas 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Mérida vs Caracas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.