Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira: match statistics
Deportivo La Guaira displays decidedly better form with three wins and two draws in the last five matches, whereas Estudiantes Mérida has won only two of their last five. The visitors remain unbeaten this season (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and have a better goal difference (8:3 vs 10:8). Estudiantes Mérida hasn't won a home match this season (0% efficiency), conceding an average of 2 goals per match in front of their own fans. Deportivo La Guaira possesses better average xG (1.49 vs 1.42) and higher possession (58% vs 56%), indicating greater control of the game. Considering the hosts' poor form at their own stadium and the visitors' impressive unbeaten streak, I predict a victory for Deportivo La Guaira, although a draw is also possible due to the visitors' last two away draws.
Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes Mérida played Deportivo La Guaira in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Estudiantes Mérida: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Deportivo La Guaira: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes Mérida scores 2.00 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Deportivo La Guaira scores 1.60 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes Mérida 80%, Deportivo La Guaira 40%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Mérida 100%, Deportivo La Guaira 20%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo La Guaira has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.16. Estudiantes Mérida: 9.8 shots per match, Deportivo La Guaira: 14.0.
Match halves
Estudiantes Mérida: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Deportivo La Guaira: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes Mérida: 16-30 (3 goals). Deportivo La Guaira: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo La Guaira displays decidedly better form with three wins and two draws in the last five matches, whereas Estudiantes Mérida has won only two of their last five. The visitors remain unbeaten this season (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and have a better goal difference (8:3 vs 10:8). Estudiantes Mérida hasn't won a home match this season (0% efficiency), conceding an average of 2 goals per match in front of their own fans. Deportivo La Guaira possesses better average xG (1.49 vs 1.42) and higher possession (58% vs 56%), indicating greater control of the game. Considering the hosts' poor form at their own stadium and the visitors' impressive unbeaten streak, I predict a victory for Deportivo La Guaira, although a draw is also possible due to the visitors' last two away draws.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Mérida | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo La Guaira is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida · 2.2 pts / match - Deportivo La Guaira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Mérida is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida · 1.6 goals / match - Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo La Guaira is 167% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida · 0.6 goals / match - Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Deportivo La Guaira keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Deportivo La Guaira scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
Over / Under - Deportivo La Guaira
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo La Guaira is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida · 2.6 pts / match - Deportivo La Guaira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo La Guaira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 60%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes Mérida
Deportivo La Guaira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Mérida | Liga | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 49% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Estudiantes Mérida 0 - 0 - 2 Deportivo La Guaira. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes Mérida 0:1 Deportivo La Guaira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes Mérida and Deportivo La Guaira?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Mérida won 0, Deportivo La Guaira won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Estudiantes Mérida score 2.00 goals per game on average and Deportivo La Guaira 1.60. The Primera División average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Estudiantes Mérida's matches and 40% of Deportivo La Guaira's.
What form are Estudiantes Mérida and Deportivo La Guaira in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Mérida have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Deportivo La Guaira 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.