Estudiantes vs Independiente: match statistics
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Estudiantes vs Independiente: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes play Independiente in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 22:15.
Current form
Estudiantes: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes scores 1.12 and concedes 0.47 goals per match. Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes 24%, Independiente 71%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes 24%, Independiente 41%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.48. Estudiantes: 13.3 shots per match, Independiente: 12.7.
Match halves
Estudiantes: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00. Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes: 46-60 (7 goals). Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Estudiantes · 1.4 pts / match - Independiente
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Estudiantes · 1.47 goals / match - Independiente
Estudiantes is 187% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.47 goals / match - Estudiantes · 1.35 goals / match - Independiente
Estudiantes scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Estudiantes
Over / Under — Independiente
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Estudiantes · 1.24 pts / match - Independiente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes
Independiente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes | Liga | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 45% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Estudiantes 0 - 2 - 0 Independiente. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Estudiantes and Independiente play?
Estudiantes face Independiente on 26 July 2026 in Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes and Independiente?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 0, Independiente won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes vs Independiente?
Estudiantes score 1.12 goals per game on average and Independiente 1.47. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Estudiantes's matches and 71% of Independiente's.
What form are Estudiantes and Independiente in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Independiente 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes vs Independiente?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estudiantes vs Independiente: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.