Estudiantes vs Instituto: match statistics
Estudiantes vs Instituto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes played Instituto in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Estudiantes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Instituto: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes scores 1.16 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Instituto scores 1.27 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes 29%, Instituto 43%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes 39%, Instituto 37%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.52. Estudiantes: 14.2 shots per match, Instituto: 13.6.
Match halves
Estudiantes: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.81. Instituto: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes: 76-90+ (12 goals). Instituto: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estudiantes have the home advantage, having won 56% of their matches at home, while Instituto have won 40% of their away games. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 0.63 conceded at home, compared with 1.0 scored and 0.93 conceded by the visitors on the road. Estudiantes also hold the edge in chance creation, with a home xG of 1.80 against Instituto’s 1.54 away from home. However, the visitors’ current form is their strongest argument: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals, while the hosts are winless over that span and have scored 4. Estudiantes remain the most likely individual match winner, but Instituto’s strong run clearly narrows the hosts’ advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Over the course of the season, both teams scored in 53% of Estudiantes’ matches, but in only 33% of Instituto’s, which supports a BTTS - No pick. The visitors failed to score in 33% of their matches, while the hosts kept a clean sheet in 33%. In addition, Estudiantes have averaged just 0.8 goals across their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Instituto have recently averaged 2.2 goals, while Estudiantes have conceded 1.4, so BTTS - Yes cannot be ruled out. Despite the visitors’ recent improvement, season-long averages for goals conceded remain low — 0.87 for the hosts and 0.93 for the visitors — making it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 80% of Estudiantes' matches and 87% of Instituto's matches. Both teams concede fewer than one goal per game this season—0.87 and 0.93, respectively—which limits the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The case for a cautious approach is further supported by the league average of 2.16 goals and the fact that Instituto have finished below 2.5 goals in 80% of their matches. The main risk comes from the visitors' recent form: they have averaged 2.2 goals across their last five games, while Estudiantes have conceded 1.4 per game over the same period. The 2.32-goal projection therefore allows for a few goals, but Under 3.5 remains clearly safer than Under 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: in their last five matches, both teams went into the break level on four occasions, while across the full sample this occurred in 53% of Estudiantes’ matches and 60% of Instituto’s. After the break, the stronger signal points to the visitors, who averaged 1.6 goals in the second half across their last five matches, while the hosts failed to score at all during that period. Instituto have won four of their last five matches, compared with none for Estudiantes, strengthening the scenario of the visitors breaking the deadlock after a level first half. However, Estudiantes’ advantage over the larger sample—67% wins compared with Instituto’s 40%—should also be taken into account, so a draw or an Estudiantes win after a goalless or level first half remain significant alternatives. Nevertheless, the strongest individual HT/FT outcome is a half-time draw followed by an Instituto win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes | Instituto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Instituto is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Estudiantes · 2.6 pts / match - Instituto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Instituto is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Estudiantes · 1.27 goals / match - Instituto
Estudiantes is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Estudiantes · 0.9 goals / match - Instituto
Estudiantes scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Instituto keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
Instituto scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes
Over / Under - Instituto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Instituto is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Estudiantes · 1.47 pts / match - Instituto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Instituto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes
Instituto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes | Liga | Instituto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.17 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 39% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 32% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estudiantes 1 - 0 - 0 Instituto. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes vs Instituto?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes 3:3 Instituto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes vs Instituto?
Estudiantes score 1.16 goals per game on average and Instituto 1.27. The Primera División average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Estudiantes's matches and 43% of Instituto's.
What form are Estudiantes and Instituto in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Instituto 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes vs Instituto?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estudiantes vs Instituto: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


