Estudiantes vs Sarmiento: match statistics
Estudiantes hold a decisive advantage in home matches with a 100% win rate and an impressive streak of two consecutive home victories. The hosts boast a superior goal difference (+2), higher shooting accuracy (11% vs 5%), and dominate in ball possession (53% vs 45%). Sarmiento, on the other hand, are in catastrophic away form with three consecutive losses and a 0% win rate, scoring merely 0.33 goals on average per away match. Furthermore, the visitors have not kept a single clean sheet away from home and failed to score in 67% of their matches. The advantage in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts (1.76 vs 0.92), confirming their offensive dominance and solidifying their status as clear favorites for this fixture.
Estudiantes vs Sarmiento: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes played Sarmiento in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Estudiantes: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Sarmiento: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes scores 0.80 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Sarmiento scores 0.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes 40%, Sarmiento 40%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes 20%, Sarmiento 40%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.37. Estudiantes: 12.4 shots per match, Sarmiento: 11.2.
Match halves
Estudiantes: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Sarmiento: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes: 16-30 (1 goals). Sarmiento: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estudiantes hold a decisive advantage in home matches with a 100% win rate and an impressive streak of two consecutive home victories. The hosts boast a superior goal difference (+2), higher shooting accuracy (11% vs 5%), and dominate in ball possession (53% vs 45%). Sarmiento, on the other hand, are in catastrophic away form with three consecutive losses and a 0% win rate, scoring merely 0.33 goals on average per away match. Furthermore, the visitors have not kept a single clean sheet away from home and failed to score in 67% of their matches. The advantage in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts (1.76 vs 0.92), confirming their offensive dominance and solidifying their status as clear favorites for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Estudiantes · 1.2 pts / match - Sarmiento
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.4 goals / match - Estudiantes · 1 goals / match - Sarmiento
Estudiantes scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Sarmiento scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes
Over / Under - Sarmiento
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarmiento is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Estudiantes · 1.6 pts / match - Sarmiento
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes
Sarmiento
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes | Liga | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.20 | 1.92 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 34% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estudiantes 1 - 0 - 0 Sarmiento. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes vs Sarmiento?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes 1:0 Sarmiento. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes vs Sarmiento?
Estudiantes score 0.80 goals per game on average and Sarmiento 0.80. The Primera División average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Estudiantes's matches and 40% of Sarmiento's.
What form are Estudiantes and Sarmiento in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Sarmiento 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes vs Sarmiento?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estudiantes vs Sarmiento: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.