Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics
Estudiantes presents impressive home form with three consecutive victories and a perfect record at their own stadium (100% wins in home matches). The hosts have not lost a match this season and kept a clean sheet in 67% of home games, evidencing a solid defense. Vélez Sarsfield also remains unbeaten, but adopts a more defensive approach away with 67% draws and only 33% wins. xG statistics favor Estudiantes (1.72 xG For vs 1.24 xG Against in home matches), while Vélez has similar values away (1.29 xG For vs 1.26 xG Against). Given the hosts' advantage on their own turf, higher points form (2.2 PPG vs 1.8 PPG), and better scoring efficiency in home matches, an Estudiantes victory is predicted, although Vélez's solid defensive stance may make this a closely contested encounter.
Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes played Vélez Sarsfield in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 2 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Estudiantes: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Vélez Sarsfield: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes scores 1.00 and concedes 0.29 goals per match. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.14 and concedes 0.57. League average: 1.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes 29%, Vélez Sarsfield 57%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes 14%, Vélez Sarsfield 29%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.32. Estudiantes: 13.0 shots per match, Vélez Sarsfield: 11.0.
Match halves
Estudiantes: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71. Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes: 46-60 (3 goals). Vélez Sarsfield: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estudiantes presents impressive home form with three consecutive victories and a perfect record at their own stadium (100% wins in home matches). The hosts have not lost a match this season and kept a clean sheet in 67% of home games, evidencing a solid defense. Vélez Sarsfield also remains unbeaten, but adopts a more defensive approach away with 67% draws and only 33% wins. xG statistics favor Estudiantes (1.72 xG For vs 1.24 xG Against in home matches), while Vélez has similar values away (1.29 xG For vs 1.26 xG Against). Given the hosts' advantage on their own turf, higher points form (2.2 PPG vs 1.8 PPG), and better scoring efficiency in home matches, an Estudiantes victory is predicted, although Vélez's solid defensive stance may make this a closely contested encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Estudiantes · 1.8 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vélez Sarsfield is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Estudiantes · 1.14 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Estudiantes is 97% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.29 goals / match - Estudiantes · 0.57 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Estudiantes scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Estudiantes · 1 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes
Vélez Sarsfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes | Liga | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.29 | 1.93 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 45% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 35% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estudiantes 0 - 0 - 1 Vélez Sarsfield. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes 0:1 Vélez Sarsfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Estudiantes score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vélez Sarsfield 1.14. The Primera División average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Estudiantes's matches and 57% of Vélez Sarsfield's.
What form are Estudiantes and Vélez Sarsfield in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Vélez Sarsfield 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The statistical background for Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.